Tue, Apr 1, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 5, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.
35%
9%
49%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 0 | 22:33 | 0.00 | 33.9% | +29.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.04 | 39.8% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.69 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:49 | 0.37 | 35.6% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:11 | 0.00 | 29.9% | +1.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.20 | 35.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.26 | 32.1% | +8.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.18 | 33.6% | +4.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.46 | 62.1% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 14:20 | 1.03 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.08 | 31.4% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:35 | 0.01 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.14 | 28.9% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.27 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.05 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.00 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:46 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.40 | +1.4 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:50 | 0.23 | 62.2% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:08 | 0.13 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:42 | 0.33 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:46 | 0.07 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:01 | 0.10 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −5 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.01 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:32 | 0.80 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.06 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.07 | 72.8% | +3.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.33 | 66.9% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.00 | 60.4% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:33 | 0.32 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 15:20 | 0.39 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.10 | 47.3% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:29 | 0.33 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.04 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:22 | 0.09 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:36 | 0.01 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.21 | −1.8 | 56:55 |