Wed, Apr 2, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York
Minnesota Wild 4, New York Rangers 5 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 27 | 111 | 16 | 00 | 424 |
| NYR | 118 | 313 | 07 | 11 | 539 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:00MINGustav NyquistPPAssists: Marcus Johansson, Mats Zuccarello · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 12:45NYRBraden SchneiderAssists: Urho Vaakanainen, Artemi Panarin · Snap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P1 15:00MINBrock FaberAssists: Marcus Johansson, Frederick Gaudreau · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 2:51NYRK'Andre MillerAssists: J.T. Miller, Will Borgen · Snap, 0.03 xG2–2
- P2 7:21NYRChris KreiderUnassisted · Backhand, 0.19 xG2–3
- P2 9:50MINMarcus JohanssonSHAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Brock Faber · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–3
- P2 18:56NYRArtemi PanarinUnassisted · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–4
- P3 0:22MINMarco RossiAssists: Matt Boldy · Snap, 0.36 xG4–4
- OT 0:24NYRVincent TrocheckGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, K'Andre Miller · Tip-in, 0.17 xG4–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:15NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 8:46MINMatt Boldy: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:01NYRWill Cuylle: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:46MINRyan Hartman: Interference2 min
- P3 12:23MINMarcus Johansson: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:52MINMarcus Foligno: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Rossi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Boldy – Rossi10:48
xG 0.64–0.46 (58%)attempts 11–12goals 1–2
- Nyquist – Hinostroza – Hartman6:55
xG 0.27–0.12 (69%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Johansson – Zuccarello – Hartman3:16
xG 0.02–0.04 (35%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Johansson – Zuccarello – Gaudreau9:36
xG 0.12–0.46 (20%)attempts 6–16goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiddleton – Faber19:27
xG 0.79–0.44 (64%)attempts 22–19goals 2–1
- Spurgeon – Brodin17:33
xG 0.45–0.69 (39%)attempts 13–20goals 0–1
- Bogosian – Chisholm8:01
xG 0.22–0.62 (26%)attempts 9–13goals 0–2
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Othmann10:32
xG 1.28–0.09 (93%)attempts 28–6goals 2–0
- Kreider – Carrick – Berard7:41
xG 0.41–0.08 (84%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Miller – Lafrenière – Perreault8:14
xG 0.25–0.15 (63%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Zibanejad – Brodzinski – Cuylle11:21
xG 0.30–0.73 (29%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Fox16:05
xG 0.78–0.26 (75%)attempts 20–10goals 0–0
- Vaakanainen – Schneider15:21
xG 0.85–0.45 (66%)attempts 19–17goals 2–0
- Borgen – Miller14:39
xG 0.63–0.75 (46%)attempts 20–16goals 2–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).