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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 2, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York

Minnesota Wild 4, New York Rangers 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.

NYR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Shot by Panarin, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 1:11Shot by Soucy, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 1:59Shot by Faber, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 2:09Shot by Carrick, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 3:57Shot by Panarin, saved by Gustavsson
  7. P1 4:05Shot by Borgen, saved by Gustavsson
  8. P1 4:50Shot by Miller, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 5:36Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 5:39Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gustavsson
  11. P1 5:49Shot by Cuylle, saved by Gustavsson
  12. P1 6:05Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 7:31Shot by Borgen, saved by Gustavsson
  14. P1 8:15Lafrenière: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Miller, Vaakanainen, Schneider, Lafrenière, Perreault · MIN Nyquist, Hinostroza, Hartman, Middleton, Faber

  15. P1 9:00Goal by Nyquist (Johansson, Zuccarello)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Miller, Fox, Miller · MIN Nyquist, Johansson, Zuccarello, Gaudreau, Boldy

  16. P1 10:38Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 11:50Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 12:06Shot by Miller, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 12:43Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 12:45Goal by Schneider (Vaakanainen, Panarin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Vaakanainen, Schneider, Othmann · MIN Foligno, Middleton, Boldy, Rossi, Faber

  21. P1 15:00Goal by Faber (Johansson, Gaudreau)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Miller, Borgen, Miller, Lafrenière, Perreault · MIN Johansson, Zuccarello, Gaudreau, Middleton, Faber

  22. P1 15:18Shot by Borgen, saved by Gustavsson
  23. P1 15:41Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 16:43Shot by Johansson, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P1 18:07Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P1 19:15Shot by Rossi, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P1 19:36Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:14Shot by Soucy, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 1:46Shot by Panarin, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 2:51Goal by Miller (Miller, Borgen)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Miller, Borgen, Miller, Lafrenière · MIN Bogosian, Nyquist, Hinostroza, Hartman, Chisholm

  33. P2 3:22Shot by Trenin, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 6:37Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 7:05Shot by Berard, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 7:21Goal by Kreider, unassisted+18 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Carrick, Vaakanainen, Schneider, Berard · MIN Bogosian, Shore, Trenin, Brazeau, Chisholm

  37. P2 7:31Shot by Miller, saved by Gustavsson
  38. P2 8:28Shot by Trocheck, saved by Gustavsson
  39. P2 8:43Shot by Othmann, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 8:46Boldy: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Soucy, Panarin, Fox, Othmann · MIN Johansson, Brodin, Boldy, Rossi, Faber

  41. P2 9:09Shot by Bogosian, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  42. P2 9:24Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  43. P2 9:50Goal by Johansson (Nyquist, Faber)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Fox · MIN Nyquist, Johansson, Middleton, Faber

  44. P2 10:28Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  45. P2 11:21Shot by Boldy, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 11:43Shot by Rossi, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P2 11:47Shot by Johansson, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 13:25Shot by Boldy, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P2 14:11Shot by Chisholm, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 14:12Shot by Rossi, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 15:15Shot by Faber, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P2 16:42Shot by Soucy, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P2 18:36Shot by Rossi, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P2 18:56Goal by Panarin, unassisted+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Borgen, Miller, Othmann · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Brodin, Boldy, Rossi

  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:19Shot by Boldy, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P3 0:22Goal by Rossi (Boldy)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Brodzinski, Borgen, Miller, Cuylle · MIN Foligno, Middleton, Boldy, Rossi, Faber

  59. P3 0:39Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Shesterkin
  60. P3 0:59Shot by Panarin, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P3 6:51Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 8:29Shot by Perreault, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P3 9:01Cuylle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Brodzinski, Borgen, Miller, Cuylle · MIN Bogosian, Foligno, Chisholm, Boldy, Rossi

  64. P3 10:04Shot by Hartman, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  65. P3 10:46Hartman: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Miller, Fox, Miller · MIN Spurgeon, Hartman, Brazeau, Rossi, Faber

  66. P3 11:19Shot by Panarin, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  67. P3 12:23Johansson: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Brodzinski, Miller, Lafrenière, Perreault · MIN Bogosian, Nyquist, Spurgeon, Johansson

  68. P3 12:50Shot by Panarin, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  69. P3 14:21Shot by Perreault, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  70. P3 15:30Shot by Nyquist, saved by Shesterkin
  71. P3 15:52Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Trocheck, Panarin, Borgen, Miller · MIN Foligno, Middleton, Boldy, Rossi, Faber

  72. P3 16:34Shot by Boldy, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  73. P3 19:50Shot by Perreault, saved by Gustavsson
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. OT 0:00Period start
  76. OT 0:24Goal by Trocheck (Panarin, Miller)3v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Miller · MIN Boldy, Rossi, Faber

  77. OT 0:24Period end3v4
  78. OT 0:24Final4v4