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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 3, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Colorado Avalanche 7, Columbus Blue Jackets 3

Away

Colorado Avalanche

7

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 53% of the time.

CBJ winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Lindgren, saved by Merzlikins
  3. P1 2:51Shot by Kunin, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 3:25Goal by MacKinnon (Lehkonen, Toews)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Werenski, Fabbro, Marchenko, Voronkov · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  5. P1 3:40Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Merzlikins
  6. P1 3:58Shot by Provorov, saved by Blackwood
  7. P1 6:33Shot by Monahan, saved by Blackwood
  8. P1 6:35Goal by Monahan (Fabbro, Voronkov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Werenski, Fabbro, Marchenko, Voronkov · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  9. P1 7:50Olivier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Olivier, Danforth, Sillinger, Mateychuk · COL Johnson, Coyle, Wood, Middleton, Kiviranta

  10. P1 9:14Shot by Kuraly, saved by Blackwood4v5
  11. P1 9:40Shot by Jenner, saved by Blackwood4v5
  12. P1 10:09Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Merzlikins
  13. P1 10:17Shot by Lindgren, saved by Merzlikins
  14. P1 10:19Shot by Kelly, saved by Merzlikins
  15. P1 10:20Shot by Colton, saved by Merzlikins
  16. P1 10:43Shot by Werenski, saved by Blackwood
  17. P1 11:40Shot by Monahan, saved by Blackwood
  18. P1 13:10Shot by Olivier, saved by Blackwood
  19. P1 14:20Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Merzlikins
  20. P1 14:53Shot by Werenski, saved by Blackwood
  21. P1 18:05Goal by Nelson (Makar, Toews)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Gudbranson, Kuraly, Kunin, Aston-Reese · COL Nelson, Toews, Makar, Kelly, O'Connor

  22. P1 18:17Shot by Danforth, saved by Blackwood
  23. P1 19:22Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Merzlikins
  24. P1 19:43Shot by Voronkov, saved by Blackwood
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:27Wood: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Provorov, Johnson, Mateychuk, Fantilli · COL Nelson, Vesey, Colton, Makar, Malinski

  28. P2 3:13Shot by Monahan, saved by Blackwood5v4
  29. P2 4:16Goal by Aston-Reese, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Werenski, Fabbro, Olivier, Danforth, Aston-Reese · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  30. P2 4:48Shot by Nelson, saved by Merzlikins
  31. P2 5:04Shot by Colton, saved by Merzlikins
  32. P2 5:16Shot by Lindgren, saved by Merzlikins
  33. P2 5:30Shot by Lindgren, saved by Merzlikins
  34. P2 6:08Shot by Fantilli, saved by Blackwood
  35. P2 7:36Shot by Vesey, saved by Merzlikins
  36. P2 7:56Goal by Jenner (Johnson, Johnson)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Gudbranson, Jenner, Johnson, Fantilli · COL Nelson, Vesey, Lindgren, Colton, Malinski

  37. P2 9:18Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Merzlikins
  38. P2 12:03Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Merzlikins
  39. P2 12:39Goal by Coyle (Wood, Johnson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Olivier, Danforth, Sillinger, Mateychuk · COL Johnson, Coyle, Wood, Kiviranta, Malinski

  40. P2 14:02Goal by Kelly (Drury)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Monahan, Fabbro, Marchenko, Voronkov · COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Drury, O'Connor

  41. P2 14:47Shot by Provorov, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 14:52Lehkonen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov, Mateychuk · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar, Malinski

  43. P2 16:02Shot by Jenner, saved by Blackwood5v4
  44. P2 16:48Shot by Voronkov, saved by Blackwood5v4
  45. P2 17:07Shot by Sillinger, saved by Blackwood
  46. P2 17:45Shot by Malinski, saved by Merzlikins
  47. P2 17:52Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Blackwood
  48. P2 18:07Shot by Vesey, saved by Merzlikins
  49. P2 18:09Aston-Reese: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Gudbranson, Kuraly, Kunin, Aston-Reese · COL Nelson, Vesey, Lindgren, Colton, Malinski

  50. P2 18:28Shot by Coyle, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  51. P2 18:33Shot by Makar, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  52. P2 19:22Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Coyle)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Provorov, Kunin, Olivier · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar

  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 3:34Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Merzlikins
  56. P3 4:01Goal by Toews (Makar, MacKinnon)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Gudbranson, Kuraly, Kunin, Aston-Reese · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  57. P3 4:19Shot by Vesey, saved by Merzlikins
  58. P3 5:10Shot by Fabbro, saved by Blackwood
  59. P3 5:49Goal by Wood (Coyle)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Werenski, Marchenko, Voronkov, Mateychuk · COL Coyle, Wood, Toews, Makar, Kiviranta

  60. P3 8:26Shot by Voronkov, saved by Blackwood
  61. P3 8:35Shot by Fabbro, saved by Blackwood
  62. P3 9:10Shot by Fabbro, saved by Blackwood
  63. P3 10:23Shot by Lindgren, saved by Tarasov
  64. P3 10:33Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Blackwood
  65. P3 11:41Shot by Provorov, saved by Blackwood
  66. P3 12:45Shot by Makar, saved by Tarasov
  67. P3 13:28Shot by Werenski, saved by Blackwood
  68. P3 14:37Shot by Kelly, saved by Tarasov
  69. P3 15:09Shot by Malinski, saved by Tarasov
  70. P3 17:04Shot by Marchenko, saved by Blackwood
  71. P3 17:45O'Connor: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Monahan, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov · COL Johnson, Middleton, Kelly, Drury, O'Connor

  72. P3 17:48Shot by Werenski, saved by Blackwood5v4
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final