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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 8, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Seattle Kraken 1, Utah Hockey Club 7

Away

Seattle Kraken

1

Final

Home

Utah Hockey Club

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Hockey Club win this game 92% of the time.

UTA winsSEA wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
SEA040718119
UTA315414012741

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 2:44UTAMikhail SergachevAssists: Kevin Stenlund, Sean Durzi · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
  2. P1 12:54UTAClayton KellerPPGWGAssists: Mikhail Sergachev, Dylan Guenther · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–2
  3. P1 16:28UTAKailer YamamotoPPAssists: Josh Doan, Logan Cooley · Slap, 0.11 xG0–3
  4. P2 0:16UTALawson CrouseUnassisted · Snap, 0.08 xG0–4
  5. P2 11:15UTALogan CooleyAssists: Dylan Guenther, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–5
  6. P2 16:05UTANick SchmaltzPPAssists: Dylan Guenther, Mikhail Sergachev · Poke, 0.39 xG0–6
  7. P2 18:07UTAMichael CarconeAssists: Michael Kesselring, Kevin Stenlund · Snap, 0.02 xG0–7
  8. P3 0:23SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–7
Penalties (13)
  1. P1 8:37SEARyker Evans: Cross checking2 min
  2. P1 10:48UTANick Bjugstad: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  3. P1 12:26SEABrandon Montour: Tripping2 min · PPG
  4. P1 12:34SEAJamie Oleksiak: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
  5. P2 4:46UTADylan Guenther: Holding2 min
  6. P2 5:34SEAJordan Eberle: Cross checking2 min
  7. P2 11:59UTAMikhail Sergachev: Hooking2 min
  8. P2 14:39UTAMichael Kesselring: Roughing2 min
  9. P2 14:39SEARyan Winterton: Roughing2 min · PPG
  10. P2 15:14SEARyker Evans: Holding2 min
  11. P2 0:00UTAIan Cole: Interference2 min · PPG
  12. P3 15:35SEATye Kartye: Fighting5 min
  13. P3 15:35UTALawson Crouse: Fighting5 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

SEA00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0UTA
43% to win57% to win
← SEA attackUTA attack →
  1. P1 20:00McCann won the faceoff against McBain
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

SEAUTA
19Shots on goal41
2.1Expected goals5.6
48Shot attempts70
25Faceoffs won33
4Power plays6
19Penalty minutes15
22Hits17
12Blocked shots16
21Giveaways12
5Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

UTA 5.6 xGSEA 2.1 xG
0123456P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

UTASEA

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

UTA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line UTA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.

Excitement 13/100 · #1139 of 1312 this seasonSwing 0.52 · 4 goals in reachComeback index 57% (winner's lowest chance)
SEA 100%5050%50UTA 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +13 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Hockey Club win this game 92% of the time.

UTA winsSEA wins

Simulated goal difference (UTA − SEA), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).