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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 9, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:13Goal by Marner (Matthews)+14 pts WP
  3. P1 2:43Shot by McMann, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 3:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 3:33Goal by Knies (Matthews, Marner)+12 pts WP
  6. P1 3:42Tavares: Tripping (2 min)
  7. P1 4:24Shot by Hedman, saved by Stolarz5v4
  8. P1 4:46Shot by Cirelli, saved by Stolarz5v4
  9. P1 5:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 6:47Shot by Cirelli, saved by Stolarz
  11. P1 7:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Stolarz
  12. P1 8:31Shot by Myers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 8:35Shot by Myers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 8:56Shot by Cirelli, saved by Stolarz
  15. P1 11:09Shot by Knies, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 11:18Shot by Gourde, saved by Stolarz
  17. P1 11:58Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 13:11Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Stolarz
  19. P1 15:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 18:58Goal by Perbix (Cirelli, Hagel)+14 pts WP
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 3:48Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 3:52Shot by Tanev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 4:01Shot by Chaffee, saved by Stolarz
  27. P2 5:10Shot by Kucherov, saved by Stolarz
  28. P2 6:53Shot by Goncalves, saved by Stolarz
  29. P2 7:36Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 8:42Shot by Benoit, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 9:34Shot by Cirelli, saved by Stolarz
  32. P2 9:53Shot by Goncalves, saved by Stolarz
  33. P2 10:59Shot by Paul, saved by Stolarz
  34. P2 12:06Shot by McMann, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 12:46Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 17:46Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 17:51Shot by Tanev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 18:45Shot by Gourde, saved by Stolarz
  39. P2 18:46Shot by Gourde, saved by Stolarz
  40. P2 18:50Shot by Raddysh, saved by Stolarz
  41. P2 18:57Shot by Hedman, saved by Stolarz
  42. P2 19:01Laughton: Interference (2 min)
  43. P2 19:37Shot by Point, saved by Stolarz5v4
  44. P2 19:57Shot by Hedman, saved by Stolarz5v4
  45. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:50Goal by Bjorkstrand (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+28 pts WP
  48. P3 1:18Lilleberg: High sticking double minor (4 min)
  49. P3 2:00Shot by Knies, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  50. P3 2:03Goal by Knies (Tavares, Marner)4v5+29 pts WP
  51. P3 2:19Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  52. P3 3:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  53. P3 3:22Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  54. P3 3:24Cernak: Roughing (2 min)4v5
  55. P3 3:24Knies: Roughing (2 min)4v5
  56. P3 3:38Domi: Tripping (2 min)4v5
  57. P3 7:36Shot by Robertson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 8:34Shot by Carlo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 9:25McMann: Cross checking (2 min)
  60. P3 9:25McMann: Fighting (5 min)
  61. P3 9:25Point: Fighting (5 min)
  62. P3 11:05Goal by Hedman (Bjorkstrand, Hagel)5v4+36 pts WP
  63. P3 11:49Shot by Moser, saved by Stolarz
  64. P3 12:57Shot by Cernak, saved by Stolarz
  65. P3 16:18Shot by Hagel, saved by Stolarz
  66. P3 17:50Shot by Chaffee, saved by Stolarz
  67. P3 18:08Shot by Knies, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 19:00Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:32Shot by Point, saved by Stolarz3v3
  72. OT 1:08Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  73. OT 1:21Shot by Cirelli, saved by Stolarz3v3
  74. OT 2:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  75. OT 2:56Goal by Knies (Matthews, Rielly)3v3+54 pts WP
  76. OT 2:56Period end3v3
  77. OT 2:56Final4v4