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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 14, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Dallas Stars 4, Detroit Red Wings 6

Away

Dallas Stars

4

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 57% of the time.

DET winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Raymond, saved by Oettinger
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Raymond, saved by Oettinger
  4. P1 3:02Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 3:31Shot by Rantanen, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 4:27Goal by Johansson (Larkin, Berggren)+10 pts WP
  7. P1 6:29Shot by Motte, saved by Oettinger
  8. P1 7:15Goal by Bichsel (Benn, Rantanen)+11 pts WP
  9. P1 8:22Shot by Kane, saved by Oettinger
  10. P1 8:55Shot by Kasper, saved by Oettinger
  11. P1 9:01Shot by Petry, saved by Oettinger
  12. P1 9:51Shot by Benn, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 10:52Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Oettinger
  14. P1 11:04Shot by Petry, saved by Oettinger
  15. P1 11:07Hintz: Holding the stick (2 min)
  16. P1 11:16Shot by Raymond, saved by Oettinger5v4
  17. P1 13:52Goal by DeBrincat (Kane, Kasper)+13 pts WP
  18. P1 16:18Shot by Kasper, saved by Oettinger
  19. P1 16:30Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Oettinger
  20. P1 18:05Shot by Blackwell, saved by Talbot
  21. P1 18:07Shot by Bichsel, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 19:20Shot by Dumba, saved by Talbot
  23. P1 19:44Shot by Kane, saved by Oettinger
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:26Shot by Dumba, saved by Talbot
  27. P2 1:41Edvinsson: Hooking (2 min)
  28. P2 1:45Shot by Duchene, saved by Talbot4v5
  29. P2 2:37Shot by Dadonov, saved by Talbot4v5
  30. P2 3:52Shot by Benn, saved by Talbot
  31. P2 4:46Shot by Ceci, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 5:33Shot by Bourque, saved by Talbot
  33. P2 5:47Shot by Smith, saved by Oettinger
  34. P2 5:53Shot by Motte, saved by Oettinger
  35. P2 6:32Edvinsson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
  36. P2 6:38Shot by Robertson, saved by Talbot4v5
  37. P2 7:20Shot by Kasper, saved by Oettinger4v5
  38. P2 9:00Goal by Dadonov (Hintz)+18 pts WP
  39. P2 9:24Shot by Johansson, saved by Oettinger
  40. P2 10:41Shot by Motte, saved by Oettinger
  41. P2 10:54Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Oettinger
  42. P2 11:01Shot by Seider, saved by Oettinger
  43. P2 11:06Benn: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
  44. P2 11:09Shot by Kane, saved by Oettinger5v4
  45. P2 11:25Goal by Blackwell (Steel, Ceci)5v4+22 pts WP
  46. P2 11:27Shot by Ceci, saved by Talbot5v4
  47. P2 14:55Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Oettinger
  48. P2 15:06Shot by Kasper, saved by Oettinger
  49. P2 17:24Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Talbot
  50. P2 18:26Shot by Bourque, saved by Talbot
  51. P2 18:26Shot by Bourque, saved by Talbot
  52. P2 18:48Shot by Johnston, saved by Talbot
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:15Goal by Berggren (Raymond, Seider)+29 pts WP
  56. P3 1:29Shot by Holl, saved by Oettinger
  57. P3 1:38Shot by Compher, saved by Oettinger
  58. P3 3:09Shot by Johnston, saved by Talbot
  59. P3 3:24Shot by Smith, saved by Talbot
  60. P3 3:34Shot by Petrovic, saved by Talbot
  61. P3 4:16Dadonov: Tripping (2 min)
  62. P3 4:19Goal by Seider (Raymond, Larkin)5v4+25 pts WP
  63. P3 4:49Shot by Compher, saved by Oettinger
  64. P3 4:55Shot by Compher, saved by Oettinger
  65. P3 5:25Shot by Watson, saved by Oettinger
  66. P3 7:26Shot by Larkin, saved by Oettinger
  67. P3 9:49Goal by Raymond, unassisted+12 pts WP
  68. P3 12:54Shot by Benn, saved by Talbot
  69. P3 12:56Goal by Johnston (Benn, Smith)+10 pts WP
  70. P3 13:48Petry: Holding (2 min)
  71. P3 15:35Shot by Hintz, saved by Talbot4v5
  72. P3 16:05Shot by Chiarot, saved by Oettinger
  73. P3 16:31Shot by Duchene, saved by Talbot
  74. P3 18:04Goal by Tarasenko (Rasmussen, Seider)5v6+6 pts WP
  75. P3 19:30Shot by Kasper, saved by Oettinger
  76. P3 19:57Shot by Berggren, saved by Oettinger
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final