Mon, Apr 14, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
New York Rangers 5, Florida Panthers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 18 | 27 | 210 | 525 |
| FLA | 110 | 210 | 010 | 330 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:22FLASam ReinhartPPAssists: Sam Bennett, Evan Rodrigues · Slap, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 8:43NYRMatt RempeAssists: K'Andre Miller, Juuso Parssinen · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 4:32FLACarter VerhaegheAssists: Gustav Forsling, Aleksander Barkov · Deflected, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 13:54FLASam ReinhartAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Seth Jones · Snap, 0.22 xG1–3
- P2 15:55NYRJuuso ParssinenAssists: K'Andre Miller, Will Cuylle · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–3
- P2 17:33NYRJ.T. MillerAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–3
- P3 3:40NYRVincent TrocheckSHGWGAssists: J.T. Miller · Snap, 0.10 xG4–3
- P3 16:31NYRJonny BrodzinskiAssists: Chris Kreider, Matt Rempe · Wrist, 0.17 xG5–3
Penalties (4)
- P1 1:38NYRK'Andre Miller: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 6:30FLARasmus Asplund: Boarding2 min
- P2 1:39FLAGustav Forsling: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 2:44NYRMatt Rempe: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Bennett
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).