Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 9, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Rangers 4, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 52% of the time.

BUF winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:05Shot by Fox, saved by Lyon
  3. P1 0:09Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 1:34Shot by Raddysh, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 4:02Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Lyon
  6. P1 6:24Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 6:34Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 7:14Geertsen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Geertsen, Malenstyn, Danforth, Timmins, Samuelsson · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Cuylle

  9. P1 7:19Shot by Trocheck, saved by Lyon4v5
  10. P1 7:40Shot by Fox, saved by Lyon4v5
  11. P1 8:46Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Lyon4v5
  12. P1 8:56Shot by Cuylle, saved by Lyon4v5
  13. P1 9:53Shot by Borgen, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 10:14Shot by Rempe, saved by Lyon
  15. P1 10:35Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 11:41Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Lyon
  17. P1 11:43Goal by Lafrenière (Trocheck, Panarin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Geertsen, Malenstyn, Bryson, McLeod, Johnson · NYR Trocheck, Soucy, Panarin, Borgen, Lafrenière

  18. P1 12:03Shot by Schneider, saved by Lyon
  19. P1 12:10Shot by Kulich, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P1 13:22Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Lyon
  21. P1 13:28Shot by Fox, saved by Lyon
  22. P1 13:57Shot by Dahlin, saved by Shesterkin
  23. P1 14:20Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 14:46Shot by Dahlin, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P1 15:42Shot by Laba, saved by Lyon
  26. P1 17:37Shot by McLeod, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P1 18:10Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P1 18:26Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P1 18:49Shot by Thompson, saved by Shesterkin
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:28Cuylle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Krebs, Byram · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Cuylle

  33. P2 0:56Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  34. P2 2:16Shot by Doan, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  35. P2 2:19Shot by Dahlin, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  36. P2 4:40Shot by Edstrom, saved by Lyon
  37. P2 5:07Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 5:42Shot by Cuylle, saved by Lyon
  39. P2 6:22Vaakanainen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bryson, McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Doan · NYR Trocheck, Vaakanainen, Schneider, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  40. P2 7:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  41. P2 8:25Shot by Timmins, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 8:45Shot by Panarin, saved by Lyon
  43. P2 9:59Shot by Norris, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 14:25Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 14:27Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 14:28Schneider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Timmins, Norris, Samuelsson · NYR Zibanejad, Sheary, Vaakanainen, Schneider, Cuylle

  47. P2 14:28Zucker: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Timmins, Norris, Samuelsson · NYR Zibanejad, Sheary, Vaakanainen, Schneider, Cuylle

  48. P2 14:52Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Lyon4v4
  49. P2 17:06Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 17:20Shot by Kulich, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P2 17:54Shot by Thompson, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P2 17:58Borgen: Roughing removing opponents helmet (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Bryson, Johnson · NYR Soucy, Borgen, Raddysh, Edstrom, Laba

  53. P2 18:43Shot by Norris, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  54. P2 19:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  55. P2 19:09Shot by Raddysh, saved by Lyon5v4
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:04Thompson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Byram · NYR Carrick, Miller, Sheary, Gavrikov, Fox, Cuylle

  59. P3 2:07Shot by Laba, saved by Lyon
  60. P3 2:53Shot by Doan, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 4:04Shot by Edstrom, saved by Lyon
  62. P3 6:02Shot by Thompson, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 6:15Shot by Sheary, saved by Lyon
  64. P3 6:31Shot by Danforth, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 6:54Cuylle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Danforth, Timmins, McLeod, Samuelsson, Doan · NYR Miller, Soucy, Sheary, Gavrikov, Cuylle

  66. P3 7:01Shot by Zucker, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  67. P3 7:19Shot by Norris, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  68. P3 7:56Shot by Norris, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  69. P3 9:09Shot by Danforth, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 9:24Danforth: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Danforth, Timmins, Samuelsson, Krebs · NYR Panarin, Vaakanainen, Schneider, Lafrenière, Laba

  71. P3 9:28Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Lyon4v5
  72. P3 11:20Shot by Schneider, saved by Lyon4v5
  73. P3 11:45Shot by Soucy, saved by Lyon
  74. P3 12:32Shot by Panarin, saved by Lyon
  75. P3 12:52Shot by Tuch, saved by Shesterkin
  76. P3 13:19Shot by Quinn, saved by Shesterkin
  77. P3 14:46Goal by Soucy (Borgen, Miller)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McLeod, Dahlin, Krebs, Byram, Doan · NYR Miller, Soucy, Panarin, Borgen, Rempe

  78. P3 15:48Shot by Byram, saved by Shesterkin
  79. P3 16:13Shot by Dahlin, saved by Shesterkin
  80. P3 17:11Goal by Miller (Schneider, Lafrenière)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Danforth, Timmins, Samuelsson, Krebs · NYR Miller, Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider, Lafrenière

  81. P3 17:20Shot by McLeod, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  82. P3 17:25Goal by Fox (Carrick)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, McLeod, Dahlin, Byram · NYR Carrick, Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Cuylle

  83. P3 18:03Shot by Schneider, saved by Lyon
  84. P3 18:30Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Lyon
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final