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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 9, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

Utah Mammoth 1, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Utah Mammoth

1

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 50% of the time.

COL winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Vejmelka
  3. P1 0:39Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 1:37Shot by Malinski, saved by Vejmelka
  5. P1 1:43Shot by Colton, saved by Vejmelka
  6. P1 2:56Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood
  7. P1 3:41Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Wedgewood
  8. P1 3:43Shot by McBain, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 6:33Shot by Colton, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 6:46Shot by Burns, saved by Vejmelka
  11. P1 6:52Shot by Girard, saved by Vejmelka
  12. P1 6:54Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Vejmelka
  13. P1 7:44Shot by McBain, saved by Wedgewood
  14. P1 8:59Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Wedgewood
  15. P1 10:26Shot by Schmidt, saved by Wedgewood
  16. P1 10:39Shot by Durzi, saved by Wedgewood
  17. P1 10:57Goal by Colton (Drury, Olofsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Olofsson, Girard, Colton, Drury · UTA Schmidt, Durzi, Peterka, Guenther, Cooley

  18. P1 13:24Shot by Nelson, saved by Vejmelka
  19. P1 13:29Shot by Colton, saved by Vejmelka
  20. P1 14:32Shot by Guenther, saved by Wedgewood
  21. P1 14:53Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Wedgewood
  22. P1 16:26Shot by Toews, saved by Vejmelka
  23. P1 16:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vejmelka
  24. P1 16:40Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Vejmelka
  25. P1 17:19Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vejmelka
  26. P1 18:09Landeskog: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Girard · UTA Cole, Agozzino, Tanev, Peterka, Simashev

  27. P1 19:10Shot by Guenther, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  28. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:54Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood
  31. P2 1:37Shot by Crouse, saved by Wedgewood
  32. P2 3:45Shot by Keller, saved by Wedgewood
  33. P2 4:02Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood
  34. P2 6:37Tanev: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Makar · UTA Cole, Agozzino, Tanev, Keller, Durzi

  35. P2 9:35Shot by Peterka, saved by Wedgewood
  36. P2 9:36Shot by Tanev, saved by Wedgewood
  37. P2 10:40Schmidt: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar · UTA Cole, Agozzino, Schmidt, Crouse, Yamamoto

  38. P2 12:10Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  39. P2 13:13Shot by Simashev, saved by Wedgewood
  40. P2 14:20Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Vejmelka
  41. P2 14:26Shot by Burns, saved by Vejmelka
  42. P2 16:35Shot by Guenther, saved by Wedgewood
  43. P2 17:26Shot by Stenlund, saved by Wedgewood
  44. P2 17:44Kelly: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Girard, Kelly, Kiviranta, Brindley · UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Stenlund, Yamamoto, Durzi

  45. P2 17:48Goal by Guenther (Keller, Schmaltz)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Toews, Makar, Kiviranta · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Guenther, Cooley

  46. P2 18:51Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vejmelka
  47. P2 18:55Shot by Burns, saved by Vejmelka
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:14Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Vejmelka
  51. P3 1:52Shot by Malinski, saved by Vejmelka
  52. P3 1:53Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Olofsson, Colton, Drury, Malinski · UTA Cole, Agozzino, Tanev, Peterka, Simashev

  53. P3 2:08Shot by Makar, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  54. P3 2:52Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Necas)5v4+30 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Necas, Makar · UTA Sergachev, Durzi, McBain, Guenther

  55. P3 4:51Manson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Malinski · UTA Schmidt, Keller, Durzi, Guenther, Cooley

  56. P3 5:56Shot by Keller, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  57. P3 6:17Shot by Peterka, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  58. P3 6:40Shot by Durzi, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  59. P3 7:48Shot by Simashev, saved by Wedgewood
  60. P3 9:13Shot by Guenther, saved by Wedgewood
  61. P3 9:21Shot by Cooley, saved by Wedgewood
  62. P3 11:33Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vejmelka
  63. P3 11:40McBain: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Olofsson, Makar, Malinski · UTA Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Durzi, McBain

  64. P3 11:54Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  65. P3 12:41Shot by Guenther, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  66. P3 13:07Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  67. P3 15:30Shot by McBain, saved by Wedgewood
  68. P3 15:59Shot by Sergachev, saved by Wedgewood
  69. P3 16:39Shot by Makar, saved by Vejmelka
  70. P3 16:46Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vejmelka
  71. P3 17:07Shot by Crouse, saved by Wedgewood
  72. P3 19:35Shot by Guenther, saved by Wedgewood5v6
  73. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  74. P3 0:00Final5v6