Thu, Oct 9, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver
Utah Mammoth 1, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 50% of the time.
40%
9%
10%
40%
COL winsUTA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against UTA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Schmaltz–Keller–McBain | Peterka–Guenther–Cooley | Crouse–Stenlund–Yamamoto | Agozzino–Tanev–Peterka | Schmaltz–Keller–Cooley | Crouse–Stenlund–Tanev | Agozzino–Tanev–Cooley | Keller–Yamamoto–McBain | Marino–Sergachev | Schmidt–Durzi | Cole–Simashev | Cole–Durzi | Durzi–Simashev | Marino–Durzi | Cole–Schmidt | Schmidt–Simashev | Marino–Simashev | Sergachev–Durzi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Necas | 1:260.00–0.00 | 2:040.12–0.06 | 5:350.17–0.15 | 0:430.00–0.19 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 7:380.17–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.19 | 0:480.12–0.00 | |||||||||
| Nelson–Landeskog–Nichushkin | 5:160.00–0.60 | 1:500.18–0.10 | 0:370.06–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 5:270.24–0.35 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.27 | |||||||||||
| Olofsson–Colton–Drury | 1:350.01–0.00 | 2:560.31–0.01 | 0:450.12–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.08 | 1:260.12–0.00 | 2:370.17–0.09 | 2:270.19–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Kelly–Kiviranta–Brindley | 1:110.00–0.07 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:350.06–0.13 | 0:540.04–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.10 | 3:010.04–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Kelly–Drury–Kiviranta | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.01–0.13 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.01–0.13 | ||||||||||||
| Colton–Drury–Brindley | 0:310.00–0.09 | 0:490.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||||
| Toews–Makar | 1:510.03–0.00 | 3:220.12–0.15 | 4:470.17–0.12 | 7:070.17–0.07 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:520.04–0.09 | 0:480.12–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Burns–Girard | 2:440.00–0.19 | 3:020.34–0.10 | 0:410.06–0.13 | 1:070.04–0.00 | 1:110.06–0.01 | 0:480.09–0.00 | 1:490.06–0.01 | 3:410.40–0.23 | 3:210.04–0.03 | 1:330.09–0.07 | ||||||||
| Manson–Malinski | 2:460.01–0.15 | 3:000.14–0.11 | 0:460.12–0.00 | 0:340.01–0.00 | 0:540.12–0.00 | 3:450.01–0.26 | 2:350.15–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Burns–Toews | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||||
| Manson–Girard | 0:320.01–0.13 | 0:350.01–0.13 | ||||||||||||||||
| Manson–Toews | 1:190.00–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Burns–Malinski | 1:140.00–0.27 | 0:520.00–0.27 | ||||||||||||||||
| Toews–Girard | 0:560.00–0.02 | 0:490.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||||
| Girard–Makar | 0:500.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Girard–Malinski | 0:460.00–0.19 | 0:310.00–0.19 | ||||||||||||||||
| Burns–Makar | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
COLUTAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mikhail SergachevUTA | 31 | 24:21 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 4 | 9 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 28 | 23:31 | 0:50 | 2:46 | 2 | 7 |
 Cale MakarCOL | 25 | 23:03 | 0:55 | 2:26 | 3 | 5 |
 Clayton KellerUTA | 29 | 22:17 | 0:46 | 1:56 | 9 | 2 |
 Logan CooleyUTA | 26 | 21:49 | 0:50 | 2:19 | 6 | 2 |
 Brent BurnsCOL | 25 | 21:28 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 4 | 4 |
 Martin NecasCOL | 22 | 21:20 | 0:58 | 1:57 | 6 | 1 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 22 | 21:16 | 0:58 | 2:00 | 5 | 2 |
 Sean DurziUTA | 29 | 20:53 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 23 | 20:50 | 0:54 | 2:00 | 6 | 2 |
 Dylan GuentherUTA | 26 | 19:48 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 7 | 1 |
 Nick SchmaltzUTA | 26 | 19:40 | 0:45 | 2:32 | 9 | 2 |
 Nate SchmidtUTA | 30 | 19:12 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 9 | 1 |
 Brock NelsonCOL | 26 | 18:51 | 0:44 | 2:05 | 2 | 5 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 26 | 18:47 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 3 | 7 |
 John MarinoUTA | 27 | 18:00 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 0 | 6 |
 JJ PeterkaUTA | 23 | 17:50 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 6 | 1 |
 Ian ColeUTA | 22 | 17:44 | 0:48 | 1:48 | 3 | 2 |
 Jack McBainUTA | 24 | 17:01 | 0:43 | 1:29 | 6 | 2 |
 Kevin StenlundUTA | 31 | 16:42 | 0:32 | 1:08 | 2 | 10 |
 Lawson CrouseUTA | 27 | 15:05 | 0:34 | 1:01 | 0 | 7 |
 Jack DruryCOL | 22 | 15:00 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 2 | 8 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 25 | 14:54 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 2 | 4 |
 Dmitri SimashevUTA | 19 | 14:25 | 0:46 | 1:02 | 3 | 0 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 25 | 14:23 | 0:35 | 1:06 | 2 | 4 |
 Sam MalinskiCOL | 18 | 13:39 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 1 | 6 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 21 | 13:27 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Kailer YamamotoUTA | 21 | 12:28 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 0 | 4 |
 Victor OlofssonCOL | 17 | 12:20 | 0:44 | 1:03 | 2 | 3 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 17 | 12:19 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 2 | 6 |
 Joel KivirantaCOL | 18 | 11:58 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Ross ColtonCOL | 17 | 10:23 | 0:37 | 0:54 | 2 | 3 |
 Brandon TanevUTA | 18 | 10:09 | 0:34 | 1:05 | 3 | 2 |
 Gavin BrindleyCOL | 12 | 8:32 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Andrew AgozzinoUTA | 11 | 6:55 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 3 | 0 |
 Olli MaattaUTA | 1 | 0:32 | 0:32 | 0:32 | 0 | 0 |