- Age
- 27
- Shoots
- Left
- Height
- 185 cm
- Weight
- 84 kg
- Born
- Camrose, CAN
- Draft
- Undrafted
Career · 2020–21 to 2026–27
- Games
- 343
- Goals
- 47
- Points
- 94
- TOI per game
- 11:52
- xGF% (5v5)
- 50.6%
- Goals above expected
- +2.2
Season by season
The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.
| 2020–21 |   OTT | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7:32 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0.1 | 66.7% |
| 2021–22 | OTT | 41 | 7 | 5 | 12 | −4 | 10:35 | 48 | 14.6% | 0 | 5.0 | 43.1% |
| 2022–23 | OTT | 55 | 1 | 3 | 4 | −9 | 10:30 | 59 | 1.7% | 0 | 5.8 | 43.5% |
| 2023–24 | OTT | 80 | 8 | 10 | 18 | −8 | 11:42 | 86 | 9.3% | 0 | 10.7 | 47.2% |
| 2024–25 |   COL | 80 | 8 | 11 | 19 | −1 | 12:45 | 99 | 8.1% | 0 | 10.7 | 52.3% |
| 2025–26 | COL | 82 | 21 | 14 | 35 | +18 | 12:42 | 104 | 20.2% | 0 | 12.2 | 57.3% |
| 2026–27 | COL | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +4 | 13:14 | 5 | 20.0% | 0 | 0.3 | 70.2% |
| Total | 2 teams | 343 | 47 | 47 | 94 | +1 | 11:52 | 402 | 11.7% | 0 | 44.8 | 50.6% |
Form
Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.
Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.
Player card
How 2020–21 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.
Overall rating
3rd line
49th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.
- 1st line
- 2nd line
- 3rd line
- 4th line
- Extra / AHL
Scoring
3rd line- Goals /600.6949th pct
- Assists /600.6928th pct
- ixG /600.6636th pct
- Goals above expected+2.275th pct
Play-driving
2nd line- xGF% (5v5)50.6%68th pct
- CF% (5v5)51.8%80th pct
- Relative xGF%−1.740th pct
- Penalty diff /600.1661st pct
Usage
4th line- TOI per game11:5230th pct
- PP time share1.2%9th pct
- Offensive zone starts27.6%6th pct
- Quality of competition23.3%19th pct
Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).
Faceoffs
How often Kelly wins the draw over 2020–21 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1171+ draws over the same seasons.
Win rate
40.8%
390–567 · below the 1171 draws of a regular
Against an average centre
40.9%
Opponents won 50.1% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.9% against them.
Wins above average
−88
Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.
Draws per game
4.9
957 draws in all.
By dot, attacking to the right
Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.
By zone
- Offensive zone36.2% 68–120
- Neutral zone43.9% 152–194
- Defensive zone40.2% 170–253
By strength
- Even strength42.0% 326–451
- Power play0.0% 0–3
- Shorthanded36.2% 64–113
What a win leads to
Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +9 after a win, −15 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.3 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.
Most-faced opponents
- Alexander Wennberg36.0% 9–16
- Barrett Hayton52.9% 9–8
- Dylan Strome29.4% 5–12
- Mason McTavish58.8% 10–7
- Chandler Stephenson37.5% 6–10
- Mark Scheifele21.4% 3–11
- Sidney Crosby7.7% 1–12
- Vladislav Namestnikov66.7% 8–4
Season by season
| Season | Draws | Win rate | Against average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020–21 | 1 | 100.0% | 105.0% |
| 2021–22 | 2 | 0.0% | -0.5% |
| 2022–23 | 11 | 45.5% | 42.6% |
| 2023–24 | 46 | 23.9% | 23.3% |
| 2024–25 | 702 | 43.0% | 43.0% |
| 2025–26 | 191 | 36.1% | 36.9% |
| 2026–27 | 4 | 50.0% | 52.1% |
Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.
+2.2 goals above expected
Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games
Speed and tracking
From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.
Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.
Tracking
- Top skating speed32.7 km/h14th pct
- Speed bursts over 20 mph223rd pct
- Hardest shot140.9 km/h94th pct
- Distance skated7 km17th pct
- Offensive-zone time40.6%41st pct
Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.
Top skating speed
35.8 km/h39th pct
▼ −1.1 km/h since 2024–25
Bursts over 20 mph per 60
7.269th pct
▲ +0.6 since 2024–25
Distance skated per 60
15.8 km70th pct
▼ −0.0 km since 2024–25
Hardest shot
145.3 km/h81st pct
▼ −4.0 km/h since 2024–25
Offensive-zone time
41.1%39th pct
▲ +1.8 points since 2024–25