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Ice Lab

Centre · #18

Steven Lorentz

Carolina Hurricanes San Jose Sharks Florida Panthers Toronto Maple Leafs(traded during the season)
Age
30
Shoots
Left
Height
193 cm
Weight
99 kg
Born
Kitchener, CAN
Draft
2015, round 7, #186 (CAR)

Career · 2020–21 to 2025–26

Games
381
Goals
36
Points
80
TOI per game
10:56
xGF% (5v5)
50.2%
Goals above expected
−11.5
ShowAll teamsCarolina HurricanesSan Jose SharksFlorida PanthersToronto Maple Leafs

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2020–21CAR45268+110:26405.0%05.351.4%
2021–22CAR678513010:538010.0%010.456.9%
2022–23SJS8010919−1811:501119.0%112.347.0%
2023–24FLA38123−98:47303.3%03.950.6%
2024–25TOR8081119+610:337610.5%07.850.7%
2025–26TOR7171118−211:527010.0%07.744.9%
Total4 teams381364480−2210:564078.8%147.550.2%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.10.20.30.40.50.650100150200250300350
8m10m12m14m16m50100150200250300350Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2020–21 to 2025–26 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

25th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.5228th pct
  • Assists /600.6323rd pct
  • ixG /600.6840th pct
  • Goals above expected−11.511th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)50.2%64th pct
  • CF% (5v5)49.0%52nd pct
  • Relative xGF%−1.049th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.0344th pct

Usage

Extra / AHL
  • TOI per game10:5619th pct
  • PP time share2.1%16th pct
  • Offensive zone starts38.5%17th pct
  • Quality of competition23.0%9th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Curtis LazarBOS/VAN/NJD/EDM0.93
  2. Morgan BarronWPG0.89
  3. Ben MeyersCOL0.88
  4. Brandon DuhaimeMIN/WSH0.87
  5. Rasmus KupariLAK/WPG0.87
  6. Colton SceviourEDM0.87

Faceoffs

How often Lorentz wins the draw over 2020–21 to 2025–26, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1159+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

48.1%

607–656 · #128 of 186 regulars, 31st percentile

Against an average centre

47.7%

Opponents won 49.7% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.3% against them.

Wins above average

−29

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

4.8

1,263 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

45%253 · +1.451%268 · +0.648%114 · +1.449%55 · +1.045%29 · +0.149%61 · +2.255%47 · +2.744%223 · +2.950%213 · +2.7Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone50.0% 191–191
  • Neutral zone47.2% 210–235
  • Defensive zone47.2% 206–230

By strength

  • Even strength48.9% 551–576
  • Power play50.0% 13–13
  • Shorthanded39.1% 43–67

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +18 after a win, −19 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.8 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2020–2130951.1%51.0%
2021–2211245.5%46.3%
2022–2354747.9%47.1%
2023–2413948.9%48.0%
2024–253336.4%36.1%
2025–2612345.5%46.7%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−11.5 goals above expected

0102030405050100150200250300350Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−60−40−200+20+40+60+80+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed36.6 km/h74th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph9770th pct
  • Hardest shot132.8 km/h33rd pct
  • Distance skated220 km52nd pct
  • Offensive-zone time36.6%1st pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.6 km/h67th pct

▲ +0.6 km/h since 2024–25

3535.53636.53737.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 36.0 km/h, 48th percentile (67 games)2022–23: 35.6 km/h, 37th percentile (80 games)2023–24: 36.1 km/h, 57th percentile (38 games)2024–25: 36.0 km/h, 45th percentile (80 games)2025–26: 36.6 km/h, 67th percentile (71 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

6.966th pct

▼ −0.9 since 2024–25

05101521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 8.7, 79th percentile (67 games)2022–23: 6.9, 69th percentile (80 games)2023–24: 11.7, 92nd percentile (38 games)2024–25: 7.8, 74th percentile (80 games)2025–26: 6.9, 66th percentile (71 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.7 km59th pct

▼ −0.4 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.51721–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 16.6 km, 94th percentile (67 games)2022–23: 15.8 km, 73rd percentile (80 games)2023–24: 16.6 km, 92nd percentile (38 games)2024–25: 16.1 km, 78th percentile (80 games)2025–26: 15.7 km, 59th percentile (71 games)

Hardest shot

132.8 km/h21st pct

▼ −7.6 km/h since 2024–25

13013514014515015521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 147.1 km/h, 66th percentile (67 games)2022–23: 139.9 km/h, 34th percentile (80 games)2023–24: 138.9 km/h, 35th percentile (38 games)2024–25: 140.4 km/h, 53rd percentile (80 games)2025–26: 132.8 km/h, 21st percentile (71 games)

Offensive-zone time

36.6%1st pct

▼ −2.7 points since 2024–25

30%35%40%45%50%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 46.1%, 96th percentile (67 games)2022–23: 40.9%, 38th percentile (80 games)2023–24: 43.3%, 70th percentile (38 games)2024–25: 39.3%, 18th percentile (80 games)2025–26: 36.6%, 1st percentile (71 games)