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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 23, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Detroit Red Wings 2, New York Islanders 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 57% of the time.

NYI winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Rittich
  3. P1 2:05Goal by DeAngelo (Lee, Holmstrom)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, DeAngelo, Holmstrom · DET Compher, Bernard-Docker, Berggren, Johansson, Brandsegg-Nygård

  4. P1 2:54Shot by Heineman, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 2:59Shot by Heineman, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 4:02Shot by Berggren, saved by Rittich
  7. P1 6:49Shot by MacLean, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 7:14Shot by Copp, saved by Rittich
  9. P1 7:39Shot by Raymond, saved by Rittich
  10. P1 8:11Shot by Pageau, saved by Talbot6v5
  11. P1 8:13Shot by Lee, saved by Talbot6v5
  12. P1 8:13Shot by Lee, saved by Talbot6v5
  13. P1 8:16Edvinsson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, DeAngelo, Barzal, Boqvist, Holmstrom · DET Compher, Berggren, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka, Brandsegg-Nygård

  14. P1 9:41Shot by Barzal, saved by Talbot5v4
  15. P1 13:08Shot by Pulock, saved by Talbot
  16. P1 14:56Goal by Heineman (Horvat, Drouin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Drouin, Horvat, DeAngelo, Heineman, Schaefer · DET Copp, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka

  17. P1 16:48Shot by Finnie, saved by Rittich
  18. P1 17:21Shot by Pelech, saved by Talbot
  19. P1 18:36Palmieri: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Duclair, DeAngelo, Barzal, Boqvist · DET Compher, Appleton, Berggren, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka

  20. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:45Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Rittich
  23. P2 1:46Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Rittich
  24. P2 3:52Shot by Lee, saved by Talbot
  25. P2 3:53Shot by Lee, saved by Talbot
  26. P2 5:48Shot by Kasper, saved by Rittich
  27. P2 6:26Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Rittich
  28. P2 6:32Shot by Johansson, saved by Rittich
  29. P2 6:54Shot by Johansson, saved by Rittich
  30. P2 7:09Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Talbot
  31. P2 7:25Goal by Pageau (Lee, DeAngelo)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, DeAngelo, Boqvist, Holmstrom · DET Chiarot, Appleton, Rasmussen, Seider, Soderblom

  32. P2 7:47Edvinsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Drouin, Horvat, Pulock, Heineman · DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie

  33. P2 12:06Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Rittich
  34. P2 12:14Shot by Johansson, saved by Rittich
  35. P2 12:54Shot by Berggren, saved by Rittich
  36. P2 13:09Goal by Palmieri (Pulock, Barzal)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Duclair, Pulock, Barzal · DET Appleton, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker, Berggren, Johansson

  37. P2 13:09Berggren: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Duclair, Pulock, Barzal · DET Appleton, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker, Berggren, Johansson

  38. P2 13:54Shot by Duclair, saved by Talbot5v4
  39. P2 13:55Shot by Lee, saved by Talbot5v4
  40. P2 14:45Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Talbot5v4
  41. P2 14:50Shot by Palmieri, saved by Talbot5v4
  42. P2 15:07Shot by Pulock, saved by Talbot5v4
  43. P2 15:49Shot by Larkin, saved by Rittich
  44. P2 17:09Shot by Finnie, saved by Rittich
  45. P2 17:14Lee: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer · DET Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Finnie

  46. P2 17:42Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Rittich4v5
  47. P2 17:51Shot by Seider, saved by Rittich4v5
  48. P2 19:02Shot by Kasper, saved by Rittich4v5
  49. P2 19:34Goal by Barzal (Cizikas)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, Boqvist · DET Copp, Appleton, Rasmussen, Johansson, Sandin-Pellikka

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:25Barzal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Mayfield, Duclair, Barzal, Schaefer · DET Copp, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka

  53. P3 1:38Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Talbot4v5
  54. P3 2:21Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Rittich4v5
  55. P3 2:42Shot by Larkin, saved by Rittich4v5
  56. P3 3:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Rittich4v5
  57. P3 3:11Goal by Larkin (Finnie, DeBrincat)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Holmstrom, Schaefer · DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Finnie

  58. P3 3:55Cizikas: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, DeAngelo, Boqvist, MacLean, Tsyplakov · DET Larkin, Appleton, Rasmussen, Soderblom, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka

  59. P3 4:22Shot by Seider, saved by Rittich4v5
  60. P3 7:19Goal by Heineman (Horvat, Pulock)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pelech, Drouin, Horvat, Pulock, Heineman · DET Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Finnie

  61. P3 7:55Shot by Lee, saved by Talbot
  62. P3 7:57Goal by Holmstrom (Lee, Mayfield)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Holmstrom, Schaefer · DET Copp, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka

  63. P3 8:30MacLean: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, DeAngelo, Boqvist, MacLean, Tsyplakov · DET Compher, Bernard-Docker, Berggren, Johansson, Brandsegg-Nygård

  64. P3 8:32Shot by Raymond, saved by Rittich4v5
  65. P3 9:24Shot by Larkin, saved by Rittich4v5
  66. P3 10:33Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Rittich
  67. P3 10:34Shot by Kasper, saved by Rittich
  68. P3 10:35Shot by Kasper, saved by Rittich
  69. P3 10:41Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Rittich
  70. P3 11:31Shot by Chiarot, saved by Rittich
  71. P3 11:37Shot by Appleton, saved by Rittich
  72. P3 12:00Shot by Palmieri, saved by Talbot
  73. P3 16:03Shot by Schaefer, saved by Talbot
  74. P3 17:20Goal by Berggren (Compher, Brandsegg-Nygård)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, DeAngelo, MacLean, Tsyplakov · DET Compher, Bernard-Docker, Berggren, Johansson, Brandsegg-Nygård

  75. P3 17:33Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Talbot
  76. P3 17:35Shot by Duclair, saved by Talbot
  77. P3 18:41Shot by Seider, saved by Rittich
  78. P3 0:00Mayfield: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, MacLean, Tsyplakov, Schaefer · DET Compher, Appleton, Seider, Johansson, Soderblom

  79. P3 0:00Appleton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, MacLean, Tsyplakov, Schaefer · DET Compher, Appleton, Seider, Johansson, Soderblom

  80. P3 0:00MacLean: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, MacLean, Tsyplakov, Schaefer · DET Compher, Appleton, Seider, Johansson, Soderblom

  81. P3 0:00Appleton: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, MacLean, Tsyplakov, Schaefer · DET Compher, Appleton, Seider, Johansson, Soderblom

  82. P3 0:00Mayfield: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, MacLean, Tsyplakov, Schaefer · DET Compher, Appleton, Seider, Johansson, Soderblom

  83. P3 0:00Period end4v4
  84. P3 0:00Final4v4