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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 23, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Montréal Canadiens 5, Edmonton Oilers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 60% of the time.

EDM winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:31Shot by Evans, saved by Pickard
  3. P1 4:16Shot by Suzuki, saved by Pickard
  4. P1 4:47Shot by Hutson, saved by Pickard
  5. P1 5:29Shot by Carrier, saved by Pickard
  6. P1 6:13Shot by Frederic, saved by Montembeault
  7. P1 6:26Shot by McDavid, saved by Montembeault
  8. P1 6:52Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Pickard
  9. P1 7:26Shot by Newhook, saved by Pickard
  10. P1 7:28Goal by Newhook (Hutson, Kapanen)+17 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Frederic, Bouchard, Philp, Podkolzin · MTL Dobson, Newhook, Kapanen, Hutson, Demidov

  11. P1 7:28Bouchard: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Frederic, Bouchard, Philp, Podkolzin · MTL Dobson, Newhook, Kapanen, Hutson, Demidov

  12. P1 8:02Shot by Suzuki, saved by Pickard4v5
  13. P1 15:52Shot by Hutson, saved by Pickard
  14. P1 16:12Goal by Tomasek (Podkolzin, Philp)+16 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kulak, Emberson, Philp, Podkolzin, Tomasek · MTL Struble, Newhook, Kapanen, Hutson, Demidov

  15. P1 16:33Shot by Emberson, saved by Montembeault
  16. P1 16:40Shot by Henrique, saved by Montembeault
  17. P1 17:05Shot by Carrier, saved by Pickard
  18. P1 18:10Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Pickard
  19. P1 18:18Shot by Caufield, saved by Pickard
  20. P1 19:46Shot by Bouchard, saved by Montembeault
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:27Shot by Caufield, saved by Pickard
  24. P2 0:44Shot by Walman, saved by Montembeault
  25. P2 2:35Shot by Matheson, saved by Pickard
  26. P2 2:47Shot by Matheson, saved by Pickard
  27. P2 7:21Carrier: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Henrique, Kulak, Emberson, Howard, Tomasek · MTL Matheson, Carrier, Newhook, Kapanen, Demidov

  28. P2 7:27Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Montembeault5v4
  29. P2 9:21Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Montembeault
  30. P2 10:37Goal by Henrique (Walman, Ekholm)+25 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Henrique, Ekholm, Walman, Frederic, Howard · MTL Matheson, Veleno, Dobson, Dach, Bolduc

  31. P2 12:14Shot by Suzuki, saved by Pickard
  32. P2 12:20Shot by Suzuki, saved by Pickard
  33. P2 13:28Goal by Mangiapane (Nurse, McDavid)+14 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nurse, Walman, Mangiapane, McDavid, Howard · MTL Anderson, Veleno, Dach, Xhekaj, Hutson

  34. P2 15:18Shot by Roslovic, saved by Montembeault
  35. P2 16:57Goal by Anderson (Gallagher, Evans)+13 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kulak, Nurse, Mangiapane, McDavid, Howard · MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Carrier

  36. P2 17:42Shot by Gallagher, saved by Pickard
  37. P2 18:00Goal by Caufield (Dobson, Hutson)+29 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Draisaitl, Bouchard, Podkolzin, Savoie · MTL Suzuki, Dobson, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský

  38. P2 18:08Shot by Kulak, saved by Montembeault
  39. P2 18:49Goal by Caufield (Suzuki, Carrier)+20 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Henrique, Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Kulak, Roslovic · MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Caufield, Struble, Slafkovský

  40. P2 19:25Matheson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Nurse, Walman, Mangiapane, McDavid, Howard · MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Dobson

  41. P2 19:37Shot by Bouchard, saved by Montembeault5v4
  42. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:26Shot by Howard, saved by Montembeault
  45. P3 2:10Goal by Newhook (Kapanen, Struble)+17 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Henrique, Nurse, Walman, Howard, Savoie · MTL Matheson, Struble, Newhook, Kapanen, Demidov

  46. P3 2:40Shot by Roslovic, saved by Montembeault
  47. P3 3:10Slafkovský: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Kulak, Roslovic, Frederic, Emberson, Philp · MTL Carrier, Suzuki, Caufield, Struble, Slafkovský

  48. P3 4:29Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Montembeault5v4
  49. P3 4:32Shot by McDavid, saved by Montembeault5v4
  50. P3 4:33Shot by McDavid, saved by Montembeault5v4
  51. P3 6:21Shot by Suzuki, saved by Pickard
  52. P3 6:23Shot by Suzuki, saved by Pickard
  53. P3 7:58Shot by Hutson, saved by Pickard
  54. P3 8:09Shot by Roslovic, saved by Montembeault
  55. P3 10:41Matheson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Nurse, Walman, Mangiapane, McDavid, Howard · MTL Matheson, Carrier, Suzuki, Caufield, Slafkovský

  56. P3 11:19Goal by Draisaitl (McDavid, Nugent-Hopkins)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard, Tomasek · MTL Anderson, Evans, Carrier, Dobson

  57. P3 11:19Anderson: Abuse of officials (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard, Tomasek · MTL Anderson, Evans, Carrier, Dobson

  58. P3 12:17Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (McDavid, Bouchard)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard, Tomasek · MTL Matheson, Dobson, Newhook, Kapanen

  59. P3 12:50Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Montembeault
  60. P3 13:08Shot by Kulak, saved by Montembeault
  61. P3 13:36Shot by Caufield, saved by Pickard
  62. P3 13:52Shot by Ekholm, saved by Montembeault
  63. P3 15:05Shot by Nurse, saved by Montembeault
  64. P3 16:04Shot by Henrique, saved by Montembeault
  65. P3 18:09Shot by Demidov, saved by Pickard
  66. P3 18:19Shot by Henrique, saved by Montembeault
  67. P3 18:51Goal by Podkolzin (Nurse, Walman)+50 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nurse, Draisaitl, Walman, Podkolzin, Savoie · MTL Matheson, Carrier, Suzuki, Caufield, Slafkovský

  68. P3 18:51Anderson: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: EDM Nurse, Draisaitl, Walman, Podkolzin, Savoie · MTL Matheson, Carrier, Suzuki, Caufield, Slafkovský

  69. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  70. P3 0:00Final5v6