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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 28, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

New Jersey Devils 4, Colorado Avalanche 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 64% of the time.

COL winsNJD wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Markstrom: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton · NJD Palat, Hamilton, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes

  3. P1 0:22Shot by Makar, saved by Markstrom5v4
  4. P1 0:36Shot by Olofsson, saved by Markstrom5v4
  5. P1 1:24Goal by Necas (Makar, Nichushkin)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Necas, Makar · NJD Dillon, Hamilton, Glendening, Brown

  6. P1 2:20Shot by Casey, saved by Wedgewood
  7. P1 3:38Shot by Noesen, saved by Wedgewood
  8. P1 3:39Shot by Noesen, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 3:40Shot by Noesen, saved by Wedgewood
  10. P1 3:49Goal by Bardakov (Kelly, Brindley)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Bardakov, Brindley · NJD Noesen, Glendening, Siegenthaler, Cotter, Nemec

  11. P1 4:01Shot by Palat, saved by Wedgewood
  12. P1 4:48Shot by Bratt, saved by Wedgewood
  13. P1 4:56Shot by Nemec, saved by Wedgewood
  14. P1 5:24Shot by Colton, saved by Markstrom
  15. P1 5:27Shot by Colton, saved by Markstrom
  16. P1 5:43Shot by Meier, saved by Wedgewood
  17. P1 5:52Shot by Casey, saved by Wedgewood
  18. P1 8:20Shot by Palat, saved by Wedgewood
  19. P1 9:43Shot by Makar, saved by Markstrom
  20. P1 10:23Shot by Hischier, saved by Wedgewood
  21. P1 10:33Siegenthaler: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton · NJD Palat, Siegenthaler, Bratt, Hughes, Nemec

  22. P1 11:26Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Markstrom5v4
  23. P1 12:57Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Markstrom
  24. P1 13:02Shot by Olofsson, saved by Markstrom
  25. P1 14:09Shot by Hughes, saved by Wedgewood5v6
  26. P1 14:11Necas: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · NJD Hamilton, Meier, Bratt, Hischier, Hughes, Hughes

  27. P1 14:18Shot by Hischier, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  28. P1 14:19Shot by Hughes, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  29. P1 15:02Shot by Hischier, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  30. P1 15:55Shot by Gritsyuk, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  31. P1 19:07Shot by Toews, saved by Markstrom
  32. P1 19:50Shot by Burns, saved by Markstrom
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:36Shot by Colton, saved by Markstrom
  36. P2 1:28Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Markstrom
  37. P2 2:12Shot by Olofsson, saved by Markstrom
  38. P2 2:31Goal by Olofsson (Ahcan, Landeskog)+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Olofsson, Drury, Ahcan, Malinski · NJD Dillon, Noesen, Glendening, Cotter, Casey

  39. P2 2:38Shot by Brindley, saved by Markstrom
  40. P2 4:10Shot by Lammikko, saved by Wedgewood
  41. P2 4:15Shot by Gritsyuk, saved by Wedgewood
  42. P2 4:33Shot by Hischier, saved by Wedgewood
  43. P2 5:48Shot by Malinski, saved by Markstrom
  44. P2 5:59Shot by Kelly, saved by Markstrom
  45. P2 6:02Noesen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kelly, Ahcan, Bardakov, Brindley, Malinski · NJD Noesen, Glendening, Siegenthaler, Cotter, Hughes

  46. P2 6:13Hamilton: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Necas, Makar · NJD Dillon, Hamilton, Hischier, Mercer

  47. P2 6:54Shot by Makar, saved by Markstrom5v3
  48. P2 7:11Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Olofsson)5v3+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Makar · NJD Dillon, Glendening, Hughes

  49. P2 7:58Shot by Landeskog, saved by Markstrom5v4
  50. P2 8:39Goal by Kelly (Colton, Burns)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Toews, Colton, Kelly, Bardakov · NJD Meier, Bratt, Hughes, Hughes, Casey

  51. P2 10:08Goal by Noesen (Cotter)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Landeskog, Olofsson, Drury · NJD Hamilton, Noesen, Glendening, Cotter, Hughes

  52. P2 10:34Shot by Nelson, saved by Markstrom
  53. P2 11:44Shot by Hamilton, saved by Wedgewood
  54. P2 11:48Goal by Hamilton (Hughes, Hughes)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Toews, Olofsson, Makar, Drury · NJD Palat, Hamilton, Bratt, Hughes, Hughes

  55. P2 12:12Shot by Brown, saved by Wedgewood
  56. P2 12:17Shot by Meier, saved by Wedgewood
  57. P2 12:52Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Markstrom
  58. P2 13:42Goal by Mercer (Hischier, Meier)+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · NJD Meier, Hischier, Mercer, Hughes, Nemec

  59. P2 14:12Goal by Hughes (Bratt)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Landeskog, Olofsson, Drury · NJD Palat, Hamilton, Bratt, Hughes, Hughes

  60. P2 14:54Meier: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Nelson, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Colton, Necas, Makar · NJD Dillon, Meier, Hischier, Mercer, Casey

  61. P2 15:24Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Olofsson)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Necas, Makar · NJD Dillon, Hamilton, Hischier, Mercer

  62. P2 15:58Shot by Brindley, saved by Markstrom
  63. P2 15:59Shot by Bardakov, saved by Markstrom
  64. P2 17:15Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Markstrom
  65. P2 19:01Manson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton · NJD Siegenthaler, Meier, Hischier, Mercer, Nemec

  66. P2 19:07Shot by Hischier, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  67. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  68. P3 0:00Period start
  69. P3 0:21Shot by Drury, saved by Markstrom4v5
  70. P3 0:41Shot by Meier, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  71. P3 2:33Glendening: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Drury, Malinski · NJD Hamilton, Glendening, Bratt, Cotter, Hughes

  72. P3 2:36Shot by Makar, saved by Markstrom5v4
  73. P3 3:10Goal by Olofsson (MacKinnon, Makar)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Olofsson, Necas, Makar · NJD Dillon, Siegenthaler, Hischier, Mercer

  74. P3 4:23Shot by Nemec, saved by Wedgewood
  75. P3 4:30Shot by Dillon, saved by Wedgewood
  76. P3 4:38Shot by Burns, saved by Markstrom
  77. P3 5:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Markstrom
  78. P3 8:15Shot by Olofsson, saved by Markstrom
  79. P3 8:57Shot by Malinski, saved by Markstrom
  80. P3 8:59Shot by Brindley, saved by Markstrom
  81. P3 16:07Shot by Necas, saved by Markstrom
  82. P3 17:38Goal by Olofsson (Drury)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Toews, Olofsson, Makar, Drury · NJD Dillon, Palat, Bratt, Hughes, Casey

  83. P3 17:44Shot by Drury, saved by Markstrom
  84. P3 18:20Shot by Kelly, saved by Markstrom
  85. P3 19:13Shot by Malinski, saved by Markstrom
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final