Tue, Oct 28, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 4, San Jose Sharks 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 94% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 16 | 24 | 14 | 414 |
| SJS | 07 | 216 | 117 | 340 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:54LAKCorey PerryAssists: Brandt Clarke, Alex Laferriere · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–0
- P2 3:21LAKJeff MalottAssists: Corey Perry, Joel Edmundson · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–0
- P2 6:43LAKDrew DoughtyAssists: Brian Dumoulin, Alex Turcotte · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–0
- P2 15:33SJSWill SmithAssists: Macklin Celebrini, Tyler Toffoli · Slap, 0.12 xG3–1
- P2 17:16SJSPhilipp KurashevAssists: Alexander Wennberg, William Eklund · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 4:48SJSAlexander WennbergAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Jeff Skinner · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–3
- P3 13:20LAKBrandt ClarkeGWGAssists: Adrian Kempe, Joel Edmundson · Snap, 0.05 xG4–3
Penalties (6)
- P1 8:45SJSTimothy Liljegren: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:32LAKJeff Malott: Slashing2 min
- P1 16:34LAKBrandt Clarke: High sticking2 min
- P3 2:45LAKJeff Malott: Holding2 min
- P3 6:40LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:44LAKJoel Edmundson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Misa
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Kempe – Byfield3:45
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Perry – Turcotte – Malott5:50
xG 0.11–0.16 (41%)attempts 3–3goals 2–1
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko8:51
xG 0.21–0.34 (39%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Laferriere6:00
xG 0.08–0.43 (16%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Doughty – Edmundson2:26
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
- Edmundson – Clarke10:15
xG 0.23–0.30 (44%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Ceci – Anderson13:56
xG 0.19–0.80 (19%)attempts 8–19goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Smith – Celebrini8:44
xG 0.82–0.04 (95%)attempts 13–2goals 1–0
- Skinner – Graf – Misa5:46
xG 0.35–0.06 (85%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Kurashev – Eklund12:27
xG 0.30–0.05 (86%)attempts 14–5goals 1–0
- Reaves – Goodrow – Dellandrea5:42
xG 0.27–0.19 (59%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDesharnais – Dickinson7:54
xG 0.57–0.04 (93%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Orlov – Liljegren14:52
xG 0.37–0.21 (64%)attempts 18–7goals 0–0
- Orlov – Klingberg2:11
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 94% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).