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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 30, 2025·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Minnesota Wild 1

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

4

Final

Home

Minnesota Wild

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 60% of the time.

MIN winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:46Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 2:53Shot by Koivunen, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 2:57Shot by Dumba, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 4:13Shot by Dewar, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 5:48Shot by Faber, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 6:09Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 6:16Shot by Dewar, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 6:18Shot by Dewar, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 6:40Shot by Buium, saved by Jarry
  11. P1 7:15Shot by Middleton, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 7:54Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Jarry
  13. P1 7:59Shot by Faber, saved by Jarry
  14. P1 10:16Goal by Kaprizov (Johansson, Rossi)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Kaprizov, Rossi, Jiricek, Buium · PIT Letang, Mantha, Shea, Brazeau, Lizotte

  15. P1 11:28Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 12:48Shot by Hartman, saved by Jarry
  17. P1 13:06Novak: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Hinostroza, Hartman, Middleton · PIT Malkin, Letang, Mantha, Shea, Brazeau

  18. P1 13:37Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Jarry5v4
  19. P1 14:15Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Jarry5v4
  20. P1 16:20Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Jarry
  21. P1 17:45Rust: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Hartman, Trenin, Boldy, Jiricek, Buium · PIT Letang, Rust, Novak, Shea, Kindel

  22. P1 18:56Shot by Acciari, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:37Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Jarry
  26. P2 0:39Shot by Kaprizov, saved by Jarry
  27. P2 1:23Shot by Buium, saved by Jarry
  28. P2 1:47Shot by Novak, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P2 2:13Shot by Novak, saved by Gustavsson
  30. P2 2:18Goal by Shea (Novak, Letang)+21 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Hinostroza, Hartman, Jiricek, Buium · PIT Letang, Novak, Shea, Koivunen, Kindel

  31. P2 7:19Shot by Mantha, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 8:16Shot by Foligno, saved by Jarry
  33. P2 8:55Shot by Novak, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P2 10:30Shot by Dewar, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 12:45Mantha: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Rossi, Faber · PIT Malkin, Mantha, Shea, Brazeau, Pickering

  36. P2 14:40Shot by Dewar, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  37. P2 14:48Shot by Rossi, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 14:50Shot by Johansson, saved by Jarry
  39. P2 15:08Shot by Rust, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 16:33Shot by Crosby, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 18:19Shot by Letang, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 19:19Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Gustavsson
  43. P2 19:52Shot by Karlsson, saved by Gustavsson
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 2:04Shot by Jiricek, saved by Jarry
  47. P3 2:31Shot by Letang, saved by Gustavsson
  48. P3 3:00Shot by Trenin, saved by Jarry
  49. P3 3:08Shot by Lizotte, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P3 4:32Shot by Shea, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P3 4:45Shot by Johansson, saved by Jarry
  52. P3 4:54Shot by Novak, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P3 5:19Shot by Karlsson, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P3 5:32Shot by Novak, saved by Gustavsson
  55. P3 5:49Shot by Acciari, saved by Gustavsson
  56. P3 5:55Shot by Dewar, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 6:29Goal by Rust (Shea, Letang)+24 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Tarasenko, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Shea, Hallander

  58. P3 6:54Shot by Yurov, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 7:17Pitlick: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Pitlick, Middleton, Trenin, Jiricek, Buium · PIT Malkin, Dumba, Brazeau, Dewar, Pickering

  60. P3 7:30Goal by Kindel (Rust, Malkin)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Kindel

  61. P3 9:07Shot by Crosby, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 9:17Shot by Hallander, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P3 9:21Shot by Dumba, saved by Gustavsson
  64. P3 9:23Shot by Brazeau, saved by Gustavsson
  65. P3 11:48Shot by Letang, saved by Gustavsson
  66. P3 12:47Crosby: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Brodin, Hinostroza, Hartman, Kaprizov, Faber · PIT Crosby, Rust, Dumba, Hallander, Pickering

  67. P3 13:15Shot by Boldy, saved by Jarry5v4
  68. P3 16:28Shot by Johansson, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 17:03Shot by Jiricek, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 17:18Goal by Mantha, unassisted6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Johansson, Kaprizov, Boldy, Rossi, Jiricek, Buium · PIT Malkin, Letang, Mantha, Acciari, Shea

  71. P3 19:14Shot by Pitlick, saved by Jarry
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final