Thu, Oct 30, 2025·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Minnesota Wild 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 60% of the time.
31%
9%
9%
50%
MIN winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:17 | 0.05 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:31 | 0.07 | 49.8% | +44.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:57 | 0.20 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.09 | 49.6% | +44.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.05 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.10 | 41.7% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.05 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.36 | 12.7% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.25 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.03 | 18.4% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.19 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14:40 | 0.40 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.08 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.15 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.01 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 12:42 | 0.43 | 89.9% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.12 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.34 | 89.8% | +16.1 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 2.45 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.03 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.00 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:38 | 0.51 | 57.5% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.11 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:27 | 0.05 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.13 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.17 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.09 | 74.1% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.02 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.31 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.22 | 78.5% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:14 | 0.04 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.14 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.05 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.22 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.21 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.13 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.03 | 27.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.67 | −0.3 | 59:49 |