Thu, Oct 30, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Detroit Red Wings 4, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 06 | 213 | 18 | 00 | 1 | 427 |
| LAK | 010 | 114 | 29 | 06 | 0 | 339 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 12:39LAKAlex LaferriereSHAssists: Quinton Byfield, Cody Ceci · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 13:22DETAlex DeBrincatPPAssists: Lucas Raymond, Moritz Seider · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 15:46DETMarco KasperPPAssists: Axel Sandin-Pellikka, Andrew Copp · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–1
- P3 14:45DETMarco KasperAssists: Mason Appleton, Alex DeBrincat · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–1
- P3 17:47LAKCorey PerryAssists: Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–2
- P3 18:27LAKCorey PerryAssists: Quinton Byfield, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 2. DET Lucas Raymond scored
- 3. LAK Corey Perry stopped
- 4. DET Alex DeBrincat stopped
- 5. LAK Kevin Fiala stopped
Penalties (7)
- P1 9:16LAKPhillip Danault: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:59DETBen Chiarot: Holding2 min
- P2 12:28LAKKevin Fiala: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:09LAKJoel Edmundson: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 2:43DETElmer Soderblom: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:33DETAndrew Copp: Hooking2 min
- OT 2:58DETSimon Edvinsson: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Larkin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestLarkin – Raymond – Finnie12:39
xG 0.65–0.41 (61%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Rasmussen – Soderblom7:26
xG 0.57–0.38 (60%)attempts 5–17goals 0–0
- Appleton – DeBrincat – Kasper7:19
xG 0.29–0.30 (49%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Copp – Compher – Berggren11:45
xG 0.59–0.68 (47%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeider – Edvinsson16:45
xG 1.06–0.61 (63%)attempts 20–18goals 0–0
- Hamonic – Johansson8:28
xG 0.40–0.25 (62%)attempts 6–9goals 1–0
- Chiarot – Johansson2:05
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Fiala – Byfield8:34
xG 0.55–0.28 (67%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Fiala – Kempe – Byfield3:19
xG 0.32–0.10 (76%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
- Armia – Danault – Laferriere9:03
xG 0.07–0.26 (21%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko8:37
xG 0.37–0.96 (28%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke12:48
xG 1.09–0.87 (56%)attempts 24–18goals 0–1
- Doughty – Anderson2:23
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Doughty – Moverare3:12
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).