Sat, Nov 1, 2025·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Vancouver Canucks 2, Minnesota Wild 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 04 | 112 | 112 | 228 |
| MIN | 16 | 114 | 38 | 528 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:53MINVladimir TarasenkoPPAssists: Joel Eriksson Ek, Matt Boldy · Backhand, 0.18 xG0–1
- P2 5:34VANDrew O'ConnorAssists: Mackenzie MacEachern, Aatu Räty · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 13:49MINMarco RossiAssists: Marcus Johansson, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
- P3 4:07MINVinnie HinostrozaGWGAssists: Jonas Brodin · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 5:46MINJonas BrodinAssists: Joel Eriksson Ek, Vladimir Tarasenko · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–4
- P3 7:00VANDrew O'ConnorAssists: Aatu Räty · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–4
- P3 16:43MINRyan HartmanENAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza · Slap, 0.21 xG2–5
Penalties (10)
- P1 10:42VANArshdeep Bains: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:14VANArshdeep Bains: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 16:35MINMarcus Foligno: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 15:03VANElias Pettersson: Interference2 min
- P2 0:00MINMarco Rossi: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:12VANEvander Kane: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:12MINMarcus Foligno: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:28VANEvander Kane: Misconduct10 min
- P3 10:28MINMarcus Foligno: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:24MINYakov Trenin: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Eriksson Ek won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMacEachern – O'Connor – Räty6:59
xG 0.37–0.20 (66%)attempts 10–7goals 2–0
- Karlsson – Bains – Sasson5:50
xG 0.17–0.28 (38%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Kane – Sherwood – Reichel5:35
xG 0.43–0.60 (42%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Boeser – DeBrusk – Pettersson8:26
xG 0.16–0.50 (24%)attempts 5–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPettersson – Willander12:44
xG 0.35–0.21 (62%)attempts 15–9goals 0–1
- Hronek – Pettersson12:40
xG 0.72–0.62 (54%)attempts 11–12goals 1–0
- Pettersson – Hronek2:05
xG 0.03–0.16 (16%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestJohansson – Kaprizov – Rossi11:34
xG 0.44–0.20 (68%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Foligno – Hinostroza – Hartman6:52
xG 0.31–0.12 (72%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy2:32
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Pitlick – Trenin – Jones7:06
xG 0.21–0.14 (60%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSpurgeon – Middleton11:52
xG 0.96–0.34 (74%)attempts 14–14goals 1–0
- Jiricek – Buium11:15
xG 0.58–0.47 (55%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
- Brodin – Faber17:28
xG 0.40–0.58 (41%)attempts 16–17goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).