Mon, Nov 3, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Vancouver Canucks 5, Nashville Predators 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 112 | 214 | 18 | 12 | 536 |
| NSH | 14 | 110 | 214 | 01 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:47NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Brady Skjei, Luke Evangelista · Wrist, 0.20 xG0–1
- P1 14:45VANEvander KanePPAssists: Filip Hronek, Arshdeep Bains · Slap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 12:57VANJake DeBruskPPAssists: Brock Boeser, Elias Pettersson · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 15:05VANBrock BoeserAssists: Tom Willander, Elias Pettersson · Snap, 0.14 xG3–1
- P2 18:45NSHErik HaulaPPAssists: Filip Forsberg, Luke Evangelista · Snap, 0.18 xG3–2
- P3 3:02VANEvander KaneAssists: Linus Karlsson, Marcus Pettersson · Snap, 0.15 xG4–2
- P3 11:52NSHMichael BuntingAssists: Spencer Stastney, Fedor Svechkov · Deflected, 0.15 xG4–3
- P3 16:37NSHNick BlankenburgPPAssists: Matthew Wood, Michael Bunting · Slap, 0.08 xG4–4
- OT 4:58VANBrock BoeserGWGAssists: Elias Pettersson · Backhand, 0.17 xG5–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 13:10NSHNicolas Hague: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:42VANKiefer Sherwood: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:51NSHOzzy Wiesblatt: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:56NSHNick Perbix: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 17:54VANAatu Räty: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:14VANFilip Hronek: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:23VANEvander Kane: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Pettersson won the faceoff against O'Reilly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBoeser – DeBrusk – Reichel13:03
xG 0.47–0.30 (61%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- MacEachern – O'Connor – Räty9:38
xG 0.46–0.60 (43%)attempts 10–16goals 0–1
- Kane – Pettersson – Sherwood11:44
xG 0.45–0.68 (40%)attempts 9–15goals 0–1
- Karlsson – Bains – Sasson7:15
xG 0.29–0.62 (32%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPettersson – Willander5:41
xG 0.40–0.15 (73%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Pettersson – Willander2:31
xG 0.29–0.04 (87%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Hughes – Willander2:21
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestO'Reilly – Forsberg – Evangelista11:50
xG 0.80–0.07 (92%)attempts 13–3goals 1–0
- McCarron – Jost – Wiesblatt7:47
xG 0.45–0.21 (68%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Stamkos – Haula – Marchessault10:48
xG 0.31–0.35 (47%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Bunting – Svechkov – Wood9:21
xG 0.31–0.43 (42%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStastney – Barron15:03
xG 0.75–0.15 (83%)attempts 23–9goals 1–0
- Skjei – Perbix13:28
xG 0.73–0.45 (62%)attempts 19–7goals 1–0
- Hague – Blankenburg15:35
xG 0.19–0.78 (20%)attempts 5–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).