Fri, Nov 7, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
New York Rangers 4, Detroit Red Wings 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 17 | 113 | 26 | 426 |
| DET | 113 | 010 | 010 | 133 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:46NYRWill CuyllePPAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 11:06DETJ.T. CompherAssists: Mason Appleton, Andrew Copp · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 4:52NYRNoah LabaGWGAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Artemi Panarin · Bat, 0.15 xG2–1
- P3 7:29NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Taylor Raddysh · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–1
- P3 8:27NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Conor Sheary · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 6:28DETAndrew Copp: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 7:21NYRAdam Fox: Holding2 min
- P1 15:46NYRVladislav Gavrikov: Holding2 min
- P2 2:39DETAlbert Johansson: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:05NYRWill Borgen: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:33DETAxel Sandin-Pellikka: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:39NYRAlexis Lafrenière: Unsportsmanlike conduct bench2 min
- P3 14:06DETTravis Hamonic: Fighting5 min
- P3 14:06NYRJaroslav Chmelar: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Compher
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestBrodzinski – Sheary – Laba9:44
xG 0.68–0.21 (76%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Zibanejad – Panarin – Raddysh11:34
xG 0.46–0.22 (68%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Carrick – Parssinen – Chmelar5:56
xG 0.13–0.18 (41%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Miller – Lafrenière – Cuylle10:19
xG 0.23–0.33 (41%)attempts 5–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Borgen5:02
xG 0.33–0.12 (74%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Borgen – Robertson7:29
xG 0.36–0.21 (63%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Fox15:43
xG 0.46–0.31 (60%)attempts 10–15goals 1–0
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestLarkin – Raymond – Finnie10:17
xG 0.27–0.03 (89%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Rasmussen – Soderblom6:50
xG 0.06–0.08 (44%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Kane – DeBrincat – Kasper11:10
xG 0.25–0.89 (22%)attempts 8–13goals 0–1
- Copp – Compher – Appleton10:30
xG 0.30–1.00 (23%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Chiarot – Sandin-Pellikka12:33
xG 0.30–0.47 (39%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- Hamonic – Johansson10:08
xG 0.17–0.59 (23%)attempts 5–11goals 0–1
- Seider – Edvinsson17:09
xG 0.57–0.99 (36%)attempts 20–12goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).