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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 7, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Rangers 4, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 66% of the time.

DET winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:20Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Quick
  3. P1 3:34Shot by Brodzinski, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 5:40Shot by Kane, saved by Quick
  5. P1 6:04Shot by Compher, saved by Quick
  6. P1 6:26Shot by Sheary, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 6:28Copp: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Appleton, Seider, Edvinsson · NYR Brodzinski, Sheary, Fox, Schneider, Laba

  8. P1 6:46Goal by Cuylle (Zibanejad, Panarin)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Sandin-Pellikka · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Fox, Cuylle

  9. P1 7:21Fox: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  10. P1 8:27Shot by Laba, saved by Talbot5v4
  11. P1 8:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Quick5v4
  12. P1 8:38Shot by Larkin, saved by Quick5v4
  13. P1 10:26Shot by Chiarot, saved by Quick
  14. P1 11:06Goal by Compher (Appleton, Copp)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Appleton, Seider, Edvinsson · NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Schneider, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  15. P1 12:04Shot by Seider, saved by Quick
  16. P1 14:07Shot by Sheary, saved by Talbot
  17. P1 15:46Gavrikov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Hamonic, Larkin, DeBrincat, Johansson · NYR Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  18. P1 16:17Shot by Kane, saved by Quick5v4
  19. P1 16:38Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Quick5v4
  20. P1 16:52Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Quick5v4
  21. P1 16:55Shot by Schneider, saved by Talbot5v4
  22. P1 17:48Shot by Sandin-Pellikka, saved by Quick
  23. P1 18:18Shot by Appleton, saved by Quick
  24. P1 18:53Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Talbot
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:42Shot by Schneider, saved by Talbot
  28. P2 2:39Johansson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Hamonic, DeBrincat, Johansson, Kasper · NYR Miller, Brodzinski, Sheary, Panarin, Robertson

  29. P2 4:34Shot by Fox, saved by Talbot4v5
  30. P2 4:52Goal by Laba (Lafrenière, Panarin)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Appleton, Rasmussen, Johansson, Sandin-Pellikka · NYR Sheary, Panarin, Borgen, Lafrenière, Laba

  31. P2 7:35Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 9:33Shot by Kane, saved by Quick
  33. P2 9:44Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Quick
  34. P2 10:29Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Quick
  35. P2 10:47Shot by Panarin, saved by Talbot
  36. P2 11:02Shot by Compher, saved by Quick
  37. P2 11:05Borgen: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kane, Hamonic, Copp, Compher, Appleton, Johansson · NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Borgen, Raddysh, Robertson

  38. P2 11:24Shot by Kane, saved by Quick5v4
  39. P2 11:31Shot by Kane, saved by Quick5v4
  40. P2 12:19Shot by Raymond, saved by Quick5v4
  41. P2 12:22Shot by Sheary, saved by Talbot5v4
  42. P2 13:47Shot by Miller, saved by Talbot
  43. P2 14:09Shot by Cuylle, saved by Talbot
  44. P2 14:28Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Talbot
  45. P2 15:16Shot by Fox, saved by Talbot
  46. P2 15:17Shot by Raddysh, saved by Talbot
  47. P2 15:18Shot by Fox, saved by Talbot
  48. P2 15:49Shot by Raymond, saved by Quick
  49. P2 17:14Shot by Seider, saved by Quick
  50. P2 17:22Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Quick
  51. P2 18:13Shot by Cuylle, saved by Talbot
  52. P2 19:33Sandin-Pellikka: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · NYR Brodzinski, Sheary, Panarin, Gavrikov, Fox, Laba

  53. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:36Shot by Compher, saved by Quick4v5
  56. P3 1:40Shot by Sheary, saved by Talbot
  57. P3 2:48Shot by Larkin, saved by Quick
  58. P3 3:17Shot by Soderblom, saved by Quick
  59. P3 4:28Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Quick
  60. P3 5:35Shot by Finnie, saved by Quick
  61. P3 7:29Goal by Panarin (Zibanejad, Raddysh)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Hamonic, Copp, Compher, Appleton, Johansson · NYR Zibanejad, Soucy, Panarin, Raddysh, Schneider

  62. P3 7:45Shot by Laba, saved by Talbot
  63. P3 8:16Shot by Kane, saved by Quick
  64. P3 8:27Goal by Lafrenière (Sheary)+5 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper · NYR Miller, Sheary, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière

  65. P3 8:35Shot by Larkin, saved by Quick
  66. P3 8:39Lafrenière: Unsportsmanlike conduct bench (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · NYR Zibanejad, Panarin, Borgen, Raddysh, Robertson

  67. P3 11:48Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Talbot
  68. P3 14:06Hamonic: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Hamonic, Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom · NYR Carrick, Soucy, Parssinen, Schneider, Chmelar

  69. P3 14:06Chmelar: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Hamonic, Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom · NYR Carrick, Soucy, Parssinen, Schneider, Chmelar

  70. P3 14:44Shot by Compher, saved by Quick
  71. P3 17:46Shot by Seider, saved by Quick
  72. P3 18:40Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Quick
  73. P3 19:44Shot by Sheary, saved by Talbot
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final