Sun, Nov 9, 2025·Honda Center, Anaheim
Winnipeg Jets 1, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 09 | 15 | 010 | 124 |
| ANA | 29 | 18 | 14 | 421 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:18ANABeckett SenneckeAssists: Cutter Gauthier, Drew Helleson · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 19:03ANALeo CarlssonPPGWGAssists: Troy Terry, Chris Kreider · Snap, 0.09 xG0–2
- P2 4:22WPGKyle ConnorAssists: Josh Morrissey, Mark Scheifele · Snap, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 11:48ANABeckett SenneckeAssists: Cutter Gauthier, Mason McTavish · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–3
- P3 2:47ANALeo CarlssonPPAssists: Chris Kreider, Jackson LaCombe · Snap, 0.11 xG1–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 8:39ANARoss Johnston: Holding2 min
- P1 12:32ANABeckett Sennecke: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:15WPGLogan Stanley: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 5:26WPGDylan DeMelo: Slashing2 min
- P2 12:42ANARyan Poehling: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 16:40WPGCole Perfetti: Interference2 min
- P3 1:47WPGHaydn Fleury: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 11:43ANAJansen Harkins: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carlsson won the faceoff against Lowry
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestNiederreiter – Lowry – Iafallo8:41
xG 0.40–0.28 (59%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Pearson – Chibrikov – Ford5:06
xG 0.12–0.06 (65%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Toews – Namestnikov – Perfetti10:19
xG 0.31–0.38 (45%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Vilardi12:29
xG 0.51–0.98 (34%)attempts 11–16goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- DeMelo – Morrissey14:38
xG 0.86–0.81 (51%)attempts 21–13goals 1–2
- Schenn – Fleury8:38
xG 0.12–0.17 (41%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Stanley – Pionk14:52
xG 0.62–0.84 (42%)attempts 17–18goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestMcTavish – Gauthier – Sennecke11:39
xG 1.16–0.43 (73%)attempts 17–17goals 2–0
- Killorn – Poehling – Nesterenko8:16
xG 0.37–0.23 (62%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Kreider – Terry – Carlsson9:50
xG 0.36–0.34 (51%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Johnston – Vatrano – Harkins7:57
xG 0.11–0.17 (39%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHelleson – LaCombe13:38
xG 1.09–0.47 (70%)attempts 18–13goals 2–1
- Trouba – Moore2:56
xG 0.25–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Moore – Mintyukov10:33
xG 0.34–0.30 (53%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).