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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 11, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

Anaheim Ducks 1, Colorado Avalanche 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 66% of the time.

COL winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Goal by Lehkonen (MacKinnon, Makar)+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · ANA Kreider, Terry, Helleson, LaCombe, Carlsson

  3. P1 0:34Shot by Gauthier, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 1:18Shot by Malinski, saved by Dostal
  5. P1 2:21Shot by Zellweger, saved by Wedgewood
  6. P1 2:39Shot by Toews, saved by Dostal
  7. P1 3:50Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Dostal
  8. P1 6:05Shot by Kelly, saved by Dostal
  9. P1 6:12Shot by Bardakov, saved by Dostal
  10. P1 6:30Shot by Kelly, saved by Dostal
  11. P1 6:35Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dostal
  12. P1 7:23Lehkonen: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · ANA Kreider, Terry, Helleson, LaCombe, McTavish, Carlsson

  13. P1 8:05Shot by Gauthier, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  14. P1 9:38Shot by Trouba, saved by Wedgewood
  15. P1 10:03Shot by LaCombe, saved by Wedgewood
  16. P1 10:54Shot by Makar, saved by Dostal
  17. P1 11:23Moore: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Nichushkin, Colton · ANA Moore, McTavish, Gauthier, Mintyukov, Sennecke

  18. P1 13:11Shot by Nelson, saved by Dostal5v4
  19. P1 13:12Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Dostal5v4
  20. P1 14:35Shot by Bardakov, saved by Dostal
  21. P1 15:26Shot by Carlsson, saved by Wedgewood
  22. P1 15:28Shot by Carlsson, saved by Wedgewood
  23. P1 16:49Shot by Gauthier, saved by Wedgewood
  24. P1 16:51Drury: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Toews, Olofsson, Makar, Drury · ANA Trouba, McTavish, Zellweger, Gauthier, Sennecke

  25. P1 16:51Zellweger: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Toews, Olofsson, Makar, Drury · ANA Trouba, McTavish, Zellweger, Gauthier, Sennecke

  26. P1 17:12Shot by Killorn, saved by Wedgewood4v4
  27. P1 18:16Goal by Carlsson (Trouba, Terry)4v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Nichushkin, Toews · ANA Trouba, Terry, Moore, Carlsson

  28. P1 18:35Shot by LaCombe, saved by Wedgewood4v4
  29. P1 18:40Shot by McTavish, saved by Wedgewood4v4
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 2:24Shot by Nesterenko, saved by Wedgewood
  33. P2 2:28Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dostal
  34. P2 2:40Shot by Mintyukov, saved by Wedgewood
  35. P2 3:30Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Dostal
  36. P2 4:16Shot by Terry, saved by Wedgewood
  37. P2 6:20Shot by Toews, saved by Dostal
  38. P2 7:31LaCombe: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas, Malinski · ANA Kreider, Trouba, Terry, LaCombe, Carlsson

  39. P2 8:36Shot by Terry, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  40. P2 10:36Shot by Drury, saved by Dostal
  41. P2 10:47Shot by Toews, saved by Dostal
  42. P2 10:51Shot by Makar, saved by Dostal
  43. P2 11:35Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Dostal
  44. P2 11:37Goal by Landeskog (Nichushkin, Malinski)+26 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Malinski · ANA Kreider, Terry, Helleson, LaCombe, Carlsson

  45. P2 13:07Shot by Ahcan, saved by Dostal
  46. P2 14:06Shot by Kreider, saved by Wedgewood
  47. P2 17:17Shot by Mintyukov, saved by Wedgewood
  48. P2 17:30Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dostal
  49. P2 18:31Shot by Trouba, saved by Wedgewood
  50. P2 19:35Shot by Burns, saved by Dostal
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:03Shot by Colton, saved by Dostal
  54. P3 1:41Shot by Moore, saved by Wedgewood
  55. P3 1:56Shot by Brindley, saved by Dostal
  56. P3 2:15Shot by Brindley, saved by Dostal
  57. P3 2:40Shot by Carlsson, saved by Wedgewood
  58. P3 3:02Shot by Carlsson, saved by Wedgewood
  59. P3 3:06Shot by Kreider, saved by Wedgewood
  60. P3 3:47Shot by McTavish, saved by Wedgewood
  61. P3 4:10Shot by Malinski, saved by Dostal
  62. P3 4:25Shot by Nesterenko, saved by Wedgewood
  63. P3 5:11Shot by Kelly, saved by Dostal
  64. P3 5:31Shot by Burns, saved by Dostal
  65. P3 5:47Moore: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Kelly, Bardakov, Brindley · ANA Kreider, Harkins, Terry, Moore, Mintyukov

  66. P3 6:01Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dostal5v4
  67. P3 7:02Goal by Necas (Lehkonen, MacKinnon)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Olofsson, Necas, Makar · ANA Terry, Helleson, Mintyukov, Carlsson

  68. P3 7:10Shot by Malinski, saved by Dostal
  69. P3 7:36Trouba: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Colton, Kelly, Drury, Malinski · ANA Trouba, McTavish, Zellweger, Gauthier, Sennecke

  70. P3 8:16Shot by Makar, saved by Dostal5v4
  71. P3 10:18Shot by Burns, saved by Dostal
  72. P3 10:54Shot by Carlsson, saved by Wedgewood
  73. P3 10:59Shot by Trouba, saved by Wedgewood
  74. P3 12:21Necas: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · ANA Killorn, Poehling, LaCombe, Nesterenko, Moore

  75. P3 12:28Shot by LaCombe, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  76. P3 12:29Shot by Kelly, saved by Dostal4v5
  77. P3 14:56Shot by Helleson, saved by Wedgewood
  78. P3 15:31Shot by Terry, saved by Wedgewood
  79. P3 15:32Shot by Terry, saved by Wedgewood
  80. P3 16:17Shot by Gauthier, saved by Wedgewood
  81. P3 16:24Shot by Gauthier, saved by Wedgewood
  82. P3 16:45Shot by LaCombe, saved by Wedgewood5v6
  83. P3 17:39Goal by Kelly (MacKinnon, Nelson)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Manson, MacKinnon, Makar, Kelly · ANA Kreider, Trouba, Terry, LaCombe, McTavish, Carlsson

  84. P3 18:38Shot by Nesterenko, saved by Wedgewood
  85. P3 19:51Shot by Kreider, saved by Wedgewood
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final