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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 12, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Buffalo Sabres 2, Utah Mammoth 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 76% of the time.

UTA winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:37Shot by Marino, saved by Ellis
  3. P1 2:46Shot by DeSimone, saved by Ellis
  4. P1 4:45Shot by Crouse, saved by Ellis
  5. P1 5:33Goal by Rosen (Quinn, Byram)+15 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Stenlund, Tanev, Yamamoto, DeSimone · BUF Timmins, Byram, Quinn, Rosen, Ostlund

  6. P1 5:56Shot by Kesselring, saved by Vejmelka
  7. P1 6:56Shot by Dunne, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 6:57Shot by Dunne, saved by Vejmelka
  9. P1 7:16Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Ellis
  10. P1 7:22Shot by Cole, saved by Ellis
  11. P1 8:16Shot by Power, saved by Vejmelka
  12. P1 8:46Shot by Simashev, saved by Ellis
  13. P1 9:01Shot by Guenther, saved by Ellis
  14. P1 9:02Shot by Guenther, saved by Ellis
  15. P1 9:05Krebs: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Sergachev, Hayton, Peterka, Guenther, Simashev · BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, Krebs, Byram, Dunne

  16. P1 9:15Shot by Sergachev, saved by Ellis5v4
  17. P1 9:31Shot by Cooley, saved by Ellis5v4
  18. P1 13:08Shot by Guenther, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 15:26Crouse: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Marino, Carcone, McBain · BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Kesselring, Krebs

  20. P1 16:54Shot by Ostlund, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  21. P1 16:58Shot by Sergachev, saved by Ellis4v5
  22. P1 17:19Stenlund: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: UTA Cole, Stenlund, Sergachev, McBain · BUF Krebs, Doan, Power, Rosen, Ostlund

  23. P1 17:27Shot by Quinn, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  24. P1 17:41Shot by Byram, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:16Shot by Sergachev, saved by Ellis
  28. P2 1:20Shot by Sergachev, saved by Ellis
  29. P2 3:01Shot by Byram, saved by Vejmelka
  30. P2 3:12Shot by Marino, saved by Ellis
  31. P2 3:15Shot by Cooley, saved by Ellis
  32. P2 4:46Shot by Peterka, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 6:42Goal by Rosen (Ostlund)+16 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Keller, DeSimone, Cooley · BUF Samuelsson, Byram, Quinn, Rosen, Ostlund

  34. P2 7:36Shot by Dunne, saved by Vejmelka
  35. P2 7:37Shot by Doan, saved by Vejmelka
  36. P2 7:41Shot by Kesselring, saved by Vejmelka
  37. P2 8:20Shot by Guenther, saved by Ellis
  38. P2 9:09Shot by Cooley, saved by Ellis
  39. P2 10:42Goal by DeSimone (Carcone, Schmidt)+16 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Carcone, DeSimone, McBain · BUF Tuch, Bryson, McLeod, Kesselring, Dunne

  40. P2 13:17Shot by Keller, saved by Ellis
  41. P2 14:39Shot by Cole, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 17:36Shot by Stenlund, saved by Ellis
  43. P2 19:05Shot by Greenway, saved by Vejmelka
  44. P2 19:27Shot by Ostlund, saved by Vejmelka
  45. P2 19:30Shot by Quinn, saved by Vejmelka
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:40Shot by DeSimone, saved by Ellis
  49. P3 0:52Goal by Peterka (Marino, Sergachev)+21 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Crouse, Marino, Sergachev, McBain, Peterka · BUF Malenstyn, Timmins, Krebs, Byram, Dunne

  50. P3 2:51Shot by Doan, saved by Vejmelka
  51. P3 3:22Goal by Crouse (Peterka, McBain)+32 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Crouse, Marino, McBain, Peterka · BUF Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Krebs, Dunne, Power

  52. P3 4:22Shot by Cooley, saved by Ellis
  53. P3 4:46Shot by DeSimone, saved by Ellis
  54. P3 6:32Shot by Doan, saved by Vejmelka
  55. P3 8:25Shot by Greenway, saved by Vejmelka
  56. P3 9:51Shot by Sergachev, saved by Ellis
  57. P3 10:09Goal by Schmaltz (Keller)+12 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Cooley · BUF Greenway, Bryson, McLeod, Kesselring, Doan

  58. P3 11:14Shot by Carcone, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 12:10Shot by Cooley, saved by Ellis
  60. P3 13:09Shot by Peterka, saved by Ellis
  61. P3 14:50Shot by Guenther, saved by Ellis
  62. P3 15:01Shot by Hayton, saved by Ellis
  63. P3 19:33Goal by Keller (Schmaltz, Cooley)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Cooley · BUF Thompson, Quinn, Doan, Power, Kozak, Ostlund

  64. P3 19:37Dunne: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Carcone, DeSimone, Hayton, Guenther, Simashev · BUF Greenway, Timmins, Bryson, Krebs, Dunne

  65. P3 19:37Dunne: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: UTA Carcone, DeSimone, Hayton, Guenther, Simashev · BUF Greenway, Timmins, Bryson, Krebs, Dunne

  66. P3 19:37Hayton: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: UTA Carcone, DeSimone, Hayton, Guenther, Simashev · BUF Greenway, Timmins, Bryson, Krebs, Dunne

  67. P3 19:37Krebs: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: UTA Carcone, DeSimone, Hayton, Guenther, Simashev · BUF Greenway, Timmins, Bryson, Krebs, Dunne

  68. P3 19:50Shot by Guenther, saved by Ellis5v4
  69. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  70. P3 0:00Final5v4