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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 12, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Buffalo Sabres 2, Utah Mammoth 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 76% of the time.

UTA winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

UTA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Quinn–Rosen–OstlundGreenway–Doan–KozakTuch–Thompson–McLeodMalenstyn–Krebs–DunneTuch–Thompson–KozakGreenway–Krebs–DoanGreenway–McLeod–DoanTuch–Thompson–OstlundSamuelsson–PowerTimmins–ByramBryson–KesselringSamuelsson–ByramTimmins–PowerByram–PowerTimmins–Samuelsson
Schmaltz–Keller–Cooley2:340.29–0.125:150.14–0.230:570.00–0.000:570.03–0.001:110.00–0.000:490.06–0.004:040.05–0.015:340.39–0.212:360.40–0.020:420.08–0.130:340.00–0.00
Stenlund–Tanev–Yamamoto2:250.00–0.130:490.00–0.001:580.02–0.160:360.01–0.002:270.02–0.002:060.00–0.132:070.10–0.171:150.00–0.16
Hayton–Peterka–Guenther1:440.01–0.332:130.04–0.001:120.00–0.000:510.22–0.312:130.01–0.181:460.22–0.312:400.05–0.00
Crouse–Carcone–McBain3:090.04–0.012:180.80–0.001:300.78–0.001:140.03–0.001:100.03–0.000:550.00–0.000:340.03–0.010:310.00–0.00
Crouse–McBain–Peterka1:020.01–0.000:380.23–0.000:340.00–0.040:420.00–0.062:240.22–0.061:060.10–0.000:340.00–0.04
Carcone–Hayton–Guenther0:390.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:470.02–0.000:440.02–0.021:440.00–0.00
Schmidt–Marino3:020.12–0.002:230.04–0.002:180.87–0.460:340.02–0.001:080.06–0.003:440.92–0.003:170.06–0.312:190.32–0.171:280.08–0.16
Cole–DeSimone2:050.10–0.251:430.06–0.000:530.00–0.000:470.04–0.002:120.00–0.131:260.13–0.000:460.00–0.120:570.00–0.00
Sergachev–Simashev0:340.00–0.023:180.03–0.010:480.25–0.001:240.00–0.001:210.25–0.001:210.00–0.020:380.00–0.000:570.03–0.01
Cole–Sergachev1:130.01–0.002:040.00–0.000:410.00–0.061:360.00–0.062:220.09–0.001:240.09–0.00
Sergachev–DeSimone0:380.00–0.320:570.07–0.001:160.12–0.180:470.00–0.001:050.03–0.00
Schmidt–DeSimone1:300.01–0.010:350.00–0.000:300.00–0.041:130.01–0.000:530.00–0.010:540.03–0.04
Cole–Schmidt0:340.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:060.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Marino–Sergachev0:360.00–0.000:590.10–0.001:230.00–0.000:560.10–0.00
Schmidt–Sergachev0:320.00–0.000:550.01–0.001:150.15–0.00
Marino–DeSimone0:440.09–0.000:330.00–0.000:380.03–0.000:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Cole–Marino0:470.00–0.000:360.00–0.211:140.00–0.210:360.02–0.00
DeSimone–Simashev0:340.01–0.020:440.01–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSchmaltz FKeller FCooley FCarcone FMcBain FCrouse FHayton FPeterka FGuenther FTanev FStenlund FYamamoto FMarino DSchmidt DDeSimone DCole DSimashev DSergachev DVejmelka GGreenway FKozak FDoan FDunne FKrebs FMalenstyn FMcLeod FThompson FTuch FOstlund FRosen FQuinn FSamuelsson DPower DByram DTimmins DKesselring DBryson DEllis G
UTABUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevUTA3126:240:511:5864
Bowen ByramBUF2724:330:551:4145
Nate SchmidtUTA3422:470:401:4852
Owen PowerBUF2922:100:461:3537
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2822:030:471:3829
John MarinoUTA3221:530:411:1144
Ian ColeUTA2721:520:491:1845
Logan CooleyUTA2620:480:481:4184
Nick SchmaltzUTA2720:040:451:1884
Tage ThompsonBUF2619:460:461:2964
Conor TimminsBUF2619:310:451:4047
Alex TuchBUF2718:570:421:2868
Jack QuinnBUF2318:350:481:2760
Clayton KellerUTA2418:280:461:1881
Noah OstlundBUF2316:590:441:1850
Nick DeSimoneUTA2616:320:381:1731
Josh DoanBUF2616:180:381:1837
Isak RosenBUF2215:560:431:2240
Jack McBainUTA2415:410:391:1844
Tyson KozakBUF2715:360:351:02210
Jordan GreenwayBUF2715:310:340:5327
Peyton KrebsBUF2315:220:401:0522
Ryan McLeodBUF2315:190:401:2966
Lawson CrouseUTA2314:430:381:0044
Kevin StenlundUTA2114:190:411:0314
Dylan GuentherUTA2013:530:421:1750
JJ PeterkaUTA2013:430:411:1781
Michael KesselringBUF2113:340:391:1333
Barrett HaytonUTA2213:150:361:1751
Jacob BrysonBUF2012:070:361:1232
Michael CarconeUTA2111:510:340:5913
Kailer YamamotoUTA1511:270:461:0610
Brandon TanevUTA1610:050:381:0300
Beck MalenstynBUF179:110:320:5713
Josh DunneBUF158:190:331:0312
Dmitri SimashevUTA148:150:350:5610