- Age
- 22
- Shoots
- Left
- Height
- 180 cm
- Weight
- 83 kg
- Born
- Stockholm, SWE
- Draft
- 2022, round 1, #16 (BUF)
Career · 2024–25 to 2026–27
- Games
- 71
- Goals
- 12
- Points
- 30
- TOI per game
- 13:46
- xGF% (5v5)
- 53.1%
- Goals above expected
- +3.7
Season by season
The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.
Form
Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.
Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.
Player card
How 2024–25 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.
Overall rating
2nd line
66th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.
- 1st line
- 2nd line
- 3rd line
- 4th line
- Extra / AHL
Scoring
3rd line- Goals /600.7450th pct
- Assists /601.1163rd pct
- ixG /600.5111th pct
- Goals above expected+3.780th pct
Play-driving
1st line- xGF% (5v5)53.1%79th pct
- CF% (5v5)52.6%82nd pct
- Relative xGF%+2.378th pct
- Penalty diff /600.1254th pct
Usage
3rd line- TOI per game13:4645th pct
- PP time share28.5%56th pct
- Offensive zone starts67.6%80th pct
- Quality of competition24.3%43rd pct
Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).
Most similar players this season
Faceoffs
How often Ostlund wins the draw over 2024–25 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 422+ draws over the same seasons.
Win rate
33.1%
108–218 · below the 422 draws of a regular
Against an average centre
33.1%
Opponents won 50.0% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.0% against them.
Wins above average
−55
Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.
Draws per game
4.9
326 draws in all.
By dot, attacking to the right
Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.
By zone
- Offensive zone24.1% 32–101
- Neutral zone43.9% 61–78
- Defensive zone27.8% 15–39
By strength
- Even strength34.0% 106–206
- Power play10.0% 1–9
- Shorthanded25.0% 1–3
What a win leads to
Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +19 after a win, 0 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.1 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.
Most-faced opponents
- Sean Monahan66.7% 6–3
- Andrew Copp28.6% 2–5
- John Tavares28.6% 2–5
- Zemgus Girgensons16.7% 1–5
- Max Domi16.7% 1–5
- Nicolas Roy33.3% 2–4
- Robert Thomas20.0% 1–4
- Jack Drury0.0% 0–5
Season by season
| Season | Draws | Win rate | Against average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024–25 | 22 | 36.4% | 36.1% |
| 2025–26 | 273 | 31.5% | 31.7% |
| 2026–27 | 31 | 45.2% | 43.5% |
Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.
+3.7 goals above expected
Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games
Speed and tracking
From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.
Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.
Tracking
- Top skating speed33.0 km/h22nd pct
- Speed bursts over 20 mph559th pct
- Hardest shot131.9 km/h74th pct
- Distance skated15 km71st pct
- Offensive-zone time50.6%96th pct
Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.
Top skating speed
35.2 km/h21st pct
▲ +1.7 km/h since 2024–25
Bursts over 20 mph per 60
3.225th pct
▼ −2.5 since 2024–25
Distance skated per 60
16.2 km86th pct
▲ +0.2 km since 2024–25
Hardest shot
140.6 km/h58th pct
▲ +7.9 km/h since 2024–25
Offensive-zone time
42.5%59th pct
▲ +0.2 points since 2024–25