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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 16, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

New York Islanders 1, Colorado Avalanche 4

Away

New York Islanders

1

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 51% of the time.

COL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:41Shot by Landeskog, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:58Shot by Pelech, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 2:05Goal by Heineman (DeAngelo, Palmieri)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Colton, Brindley · NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Horvat, DeAngelo, Heineman

  5. P1 4:56Mayfield: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Girard, Colton, Brindley, Malinski · NYI Palmieri, Mayfield, Horvat, Romanov, Heineman

  6. P1 6:55Shot by Brindley, saved by Sorokin5v4
  7. P1 7:43Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 10:18Shot by Barzal, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 11:55Shot by Pelech, saved by Wedgewood
  10. P1 16:18Shot by Shabanov, saved by Wedgewood
  11. P1 16:37Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Wedgewood
  12. P1 16:47Shot by Malinski, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 16:48Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 17:08Shot by Burns, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 18:36Shot by Olofsson, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 19:16Shot by Schaefer, saved by Wedgewood
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:24Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Sorokin
  20. P2 1:42Shot by Malinski, saved by Sorokin
  21. P2 3:22Shot by Horvat, saved by Wedgewood
  22. P2 3:23Shot by Horvat, saved by Wedgewood
  23. P2 3:26Shot by Romanov, saved by Wedgewood
  24. P2 4:32Goal by Colton (Makar, Nelson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Toews, Colton, Makar, Brindley · NYI Pelech, Drouin, Pulock, Barzal, Holmstrom

  25. P2 5:51Goal by Olofsson (Malinski)+23 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Olofsson, Girard, Drury, Malinski · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Duclair, Romanov

  26. P2 6:21Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 8:14Kelly: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Bardakov, Makar · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Romanov, Ritchie, Shabanov

  28. P2 8:37Shot by Palmieri, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  29. P2 8:43Shot by Schaefer, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  30. P2 9:13Shot by Horvat, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  31. P2 9:57Shot by Lee, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  32. P2 10:29Shot by Barzal, saved by Wedgewood
  33. P2 10:36Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 10:39Pulock: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Girard, Makar, Kelly, Drury · NYI Pelech, Drouin, Pulock, Barzal, Holmstrom

  35. P2 11:28Shot by Necas, saved by Sorokin5v4
  36. P2 11:49Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sorokin5v4
  37. P2 13:16Shot by Drouin, saved by Wedgewood
  38. P2 14:32Shot by Shabanov, saved by Wedgewood
  39. P2 17:07Shot by Brindley, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 18:22Shot by Nelson, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 19:06Makar: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Toews, Colton, Makar, Brindley · NYI Lee, Duclair, Horvat, DeAngelo, Schaefer

  42. P2 19:17Shot by Horvat, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  43. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:03Shot by Manson, saved by Sorokin4v5
  46. P3 0:33Shot by Barzal, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  47. P3 0:52Shot by Barzal, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  48. P3 1:16Shot by Palmieri, saved by Wedgewood
  49. P3 3:12Shot by Manson, saved by Sorokin
  50. P3 4:28Shot by Nelson, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 4:30Shot by Colton, saved by Sorokin
  52. P3 4:40Brindley: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nelson, Girard, Colton, Brindley, Malinski · NYI Palmieri, Mayfield, Horvat, Romanov, Heineman

  53. P3 6:17Lee: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, Kelly · NYI Lee, DeAngelo, Heineman, Ritchie, Shabanov

  54. P3 6:17Lee: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, Kelly · NYI Lee, DeAngelo, Heineman, Ritchie, Shabanov

  55. P3 6:17Manson: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, Kelly · NYI Lee, DeAngelo, Heineman, Ritchie, Shabanov

  56. P3 7:45Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sorokin5v4
  57. P3 9:16Shot by Makar, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 9:36Shot by Romanov, saved by Wedgewood
  59. P3 11:07Shot by Barzal, saved by Wedgewood
  60. P3 11:55Shot by Pulock, saved by Wedgewood
  61. P3 11:56Shot by Horvat, saved by Wedgewood
  62. P3 12:07Shot by Landeskog, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 13:15Shot by Barzal, saved by Wedgewood
  64. P3 13:17Shot by Drouin, saved by Wedgewood
  65. P3 13:56Shot by Makar, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 15:52Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 16:40Necas: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  68. P3 17:14Shot by Palmieri, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  69. P3 18:26Shot by Horvat, saved by Wedgewood4v6
  70. P3 19:25Goal by Necas, unassisted5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Drury · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Horvat, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  71. P3 19:44Goal by Nelson (Burns, Kelly)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Kelly · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, DeAngelo, Ritchie, Shabanov

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final