Sat, Nov 22, 2025·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
New Jersey Devils 3, Philadelphia Flyers 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 19 | 113 | 113 | 335 |
| PHI | 410 | 110 | 19 | 629 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:37NJDTimo MeierPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
- P1 9:00PHINoah CatesUnassisted · Snap, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 12:06PHIMatvei MichkovAssists: Sean Couturier · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–2
- P1 12:15PHITyson FoersterAssists: Noah Cates, Travis Konecny · Snap, 0.07 xG1–3
- P1 12:32PHITyson FoersterGWGAssists: Noah Cates, Nick Seeler · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–4
- P2 11:42PHIBobby BrinkAssists: Sean Couturier · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–5
- P2 16:16NJDNico HischierAssists: Luke Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–5
- P3 13:27NJDNico HischierAssists: Simon Nemec, Jesper Bratt · Tip-in, 0.09 xG3–5
- P3 15:21PHITrevor ZegrasAssists: Owen Tippett, Christian Dvorak · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–6
Penalties (10)
- P1 6:18PHICam York: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 14:44NJDArseny Gritsyuk: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:38PHITravis Konecny: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:38NJDBrenden Dillon: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:26PHIMatvei Michkov: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:26NJDArseny Gritsyuk: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:26PHIMatvei Michkov: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:12NJDNico Hischier: High sticking2 min
- P3 10:38NJDSimon Nemec: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:00NJDLuke Hughes: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cates won the faceoff against Hischier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Gritsyuk – Mercer3:10
xG 0.42–0.00 (100%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Meier – Bratt – Hischier12:44
xG 0.53–0.32 (63%)attempts 15–6goals 1–1
- Brown – Gritsyuk – Mercer7:35
xG 0.29–0.32 (48%)attempts 7–5goals 0–2
- Dadonov – Brown – Lammikko2:36
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHughes – Nemec12:16
xG 1.13–0.65 (63%)attempts 26–7goals 1–1
- Dillon – Cholowski7:27
xG 0.27–0.29 (49%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Hamilton – Cholowski7:24
xG 0.21–0.31 (41%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestKonecny – Cates – Foerster9:02
xG 0.73–0.36 (67%)attempts 8–12goals 3–0
- Couturier – Brink – Michkov8:19
xG 0.62–0.36 (64%)attempts 11–9goals 2–0
- Deslauriers – Hathaway – Abols9:41
xG 0.26–0.18 (59%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Dvorak – Tippett – Zegras8:58
xG 0.49–0.44 (53%)attempts 7–13goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestAndrae – Drysdale12:59
xG 0.45–0.24 (65%)attempts 6–12goals 0–0
- Seeler – Sanheim2:03
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- York – Drysdale3:03
xG 0.14–0.16 (47%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).