Sat, Nov 22, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 77% of the time.
70%
16%
WSH winsTBL wins
Every shot
Model-basedFilter by period or danger, and pick out rebounds and rush chances.
WSH attack the right-hand net, TBL the left. Shapes show the outcome; size shows the chance quality.
Goal Saved MissedBigger marks were better chances (higher xG).
WSHTBL