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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 26, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 71% of the time.

CBJ winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Domi–Matthews–KniesTavares–Nylander–CowanRoy–Robertson–McMannJarnkrok–Laughton–LorentzMatthews–McMann–KniesEkman-Larsson–RiellyMcCabe–BenoitMermis–StecherMcCabe–StecherRielly–BenoitEkman-Larsson–StecherRielly–McCabeEkman-Larsson–McCabe
Coyle–Wood–Lundeström6:570.57–0.241:080.00–0.091:280.09–0.053:340.18–0.013:250.33–0.271:560.09–0.00
Voronkov–Johnson–Fantilli1:530.33–0.003:490.36–0.080:460.00–0.002:310.07–0.004:060.49–0.082:570.20–0.101:010.01–0.001:030.12–0.000:530.00–0.010:420.12–0.00
Monahan–Sillinger–Pinelli1:400.08–0.075:030.11–0.650:350.05–0.001:520.35–0.002:560.32–0.273:470.19–0.372:290.05–0.07
Gaunce–Aston-Reese–Chinakhov1:010.00–0.005:290.34–0.072:000.05–0.071:350.08–0.002:190.25–0.00
Werenski–Provorov6:310.41–0.243:570.20–0.171:270.07–0.001:000.03–0.000:370.00–0.006:330.28–0.093:520.19–0.122:310.05–0.000:450.12–0.000:410.00–0.090:360.05–0.020:320.05–0.010:570.04–0.09
Severson–Mateychuk2:160.40–0.005:480.19–0.641:100.09–0.031:050.11–0.000:320.06–0.003:490.11–0.316:180.62–0.371:310.09–0.000:410.00–0.000:440.00–0.010:330.07–0.05
Smith–Fabbro1:070.00–0.071:150.00–0.004:110.13–0.042:250.31–0.002:180.31–0.042:440.09–0.203:380.08–0.07
Provorov–Fabbro1:010.00–0.11
Severson–Provorov0:390.00–0.050:590.00–0.05
Werenski–Mateychuk1:020.09–0.000:420.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndCoyle FWood FLundeström FMonahan FPinelli FSillinger FFantilli FJohnson FVoronkov FGaunce FChinakhov FAston-Reese FWerenski DProvorov DSeverson DMateychuk DFabbro DSmith DGreaves GDomi FKnies FMatthews FNylander FCowan FTavares FJarnkrok FLaughton FLorentz FRobertson FRoy FMcMann FRielly DEkman-Larsson DBenoit DMcCabe DMermis DStecher DWoll G
CBJTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach WerenskiCBJ2928:400:592:2334
Ivan ProvorovCBJ2828:291:012:4724
Jake McCabeTOR3525:120:431:29112
Morgan RiellyTOR3524:550:431:1882
Auston MatthewsTOR2824:350:533:1360
Sean MonahanCBJ2621:330:501:3175
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3421:300:381:22101
Matthew KniesTOR2421:250:542:5350
Simon BenoitTOR3520:450:361:10111
Adam FantilliCBJ2120:210:581:4440
William NylanderTOR2420:180:511:4973
Denton MateychukCBJ2320:030:521:4547
John TavaresTOR2418:330:461:4474
Charlie CoyleCBJ2318:290:481:2335
Easton CowanTOR2118:020:521:3372
Kent JohnsonCBJ1917:500:561:3640
Damon SeversonCBJ2117:390:501:4455
Cole SillingerCBJ2217:140:471:2842
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ1916:450:531:2140
Luca PinelliCBJ2116:200:471:2542
Miles WoodCBJ2115:520:451:2433
Max DomiTOR2115:240:441:2631
Dante FabbroCBJ1615:150:571:2631
Troy StecherTOR2215:090:411:1620
Isac LundeströmCBJ2114:520:421:3234
Nicolas RoyTOR2014:210:431:4227
Bobby McMannTOR1612:570:491:3425
Scott LaughtonTOR2312:530:341:1009
Dakota MermisTOR1711:470:421:1331
Steven LorentzTOR2011:380:351:0707
Brendan GaunceCBJ1511:300:461:2941
Brendan SmithCBJ1510:550:441:0132
Nick RobertsonTOR1610:330:401:4325
Zachary Aston-ReeseCBJ139:140:431:1231
Egor ChinakhovCBJ138:590:411:0831
Calle JarnkrokTOR168:150:311:1103