Fri, Nov 28, 2025·Honda Center, Anaheim
Los Angeles Kings 4, Anaheim Ducks 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 19 | 15 | 211 | 02 | 0 | 427 |
| ANA | 07 | 211 | 29 | 04 | 2 | 531 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:48LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Trevor Moore, Brian Dumoulin · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 9:00ANAChris KreiderPPAssists: Troy Terry, Leo Carlsson · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–1
- P2 10:03LAKKevin FialaAssists: Quinton Byfield, Brandt Clarke · Snap, 0.09 xG2–1
- P2 11:02ANAOlen ZellwegerAssists: Alex Killorn, Leo Carlsson · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
- P3 3:23LAKAlex TurcotteAssists: Brandt Clarke, Brian Dumoulin · Tip-in, 0.07 xG3–2
- P3 6:53LAKJoel EdmundsonAssists: Mikey Anderson, Trevor Moore · Slap, 0.04 xG4–2
- P3 10:42ANAPavel MintyukovAssists: Beckett Sennecke, Mason McTavish · Snap, 0.16 xG4–3
- P3 18:29ANALeo CarlssonAssists: Jackson LaCombe, Mason McTavish · Snap, 0.23 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. ANA Leo Carlsson stopped
- 2. LAK Kevin Fiala stopped
- 3. ANA Troy Terry scored
- 4. LAK Adrian Kempe stopped
- 5. ANA Mason McTavish scored
Penalties (3)
- P1 18:50ANARadko Gudas: Holding2 min
- P2 8:50LAKAlex Turcotte: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 12:55LAKBrandt Clarke: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against McTavish
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestPerry – Turcotte – Malott7:35
xG 0.59–0.05 (93%)attempts 12–3goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Moore – Laferriere8:59
xG 0.51–0.34 (60%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe2:03
xG 0.11–0.00 (97%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Armia – Danault – Kuzmenko5:07
xG 0.01–0.28 (2%)attempts 1–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Clarke16:26
xG 0.71–0.54 (57%)attempts 17–21goals 1–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci4:04
xG 0.20–0.17 (55%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
- Edmundson – Anderson16:38
xG 0.58–0.55 (51%)attempts 15–16goals 1–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestMcTavish – Gauthier – Sennecke7:00
xG 0.54–0.16 (77%)attempts 12–5goals 1–1
- Kreider – McTavish – Sennecke5:06
xG 0.21–0.01 (97%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Terry – Gauthier – Carlsson7:02
xG 0.37–0.20 (65%)attempts 9–4goals 0–1
- Killorn – Poehling – Nesterenko10:33
xG 0.29–0.12 (70%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGudas – LaCombe17:30
xG 0.61–0.26 (71%)attempts 20–13goals 0–1
- Helleson – Mintyukov14:48
xG 0.41–0.12 (77%)attempts 17–11goals 1–1
- Helleson – LaCombe2:42
xG 0.32–0.13 (71%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).