Fri, Nov 28, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 2, San Jose Sharks 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 18 | 117 | 09 | 234 |
| SJS | 112 | 27 | 05 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:28VANBrock BoeserAssists: Conor Garland, Tom Willander · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 9:25SJSWill SmithPPAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Macklin Celebrini · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 3:04VANElias PetterssonAssists: Evander Kane, Filip Hronek · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P2 14:03SJSWilliam EklundPPAssists: Macklin Celebrini, John Klingberg · Slap, 0.12 xG2–2
- P2 15:17SJSAdam GaudetteGWGAssists: Philipp Kurashev, Tyler Toffoli · Backhand, 0.15 xG2–3
Penalties (19)
- P1 8:00VANQuinn Hughes: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 15:33VANConor Garland: Roughing2 min
- P1 15:33SJSWilliam Eklund: Interference2 min
- P1 19:53VANArshdeep Bains: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:40SJSTimothy Liljegren: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:28VANQuinn Hughes: Abuse of officials2 min · PPG
- P2 13:11VANMarcus Pettersson: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:42SJSTimothy Liljegren: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:11SJSWilliam Eklund: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 1:28SJSVincent Iorio: Interference2 min
- P3 6:18VANElias Pettersson: Holding2 min
- P3 7:32SJSWill Smith: Interference2 min
- P3 15:37SJSDmitry Orlov: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:17VANEvander Kane: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:36SJSMacklin Celebrini: Cross checking2 min
- P3 18:36SJSMacklin Celebrini: Abuse of officials2 min
- P3 19:58SJSBarclay Goodrow: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:58SJSTy Dellandrea: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:58VANElias Pettersson: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against Kampf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBoeser – Garland – Kampf9:50
xG 0.74–0.29 (72%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Kane – DeBrusk – Pettersson6:04
xG 0.12–0.09 (57%)attempts 4–3goals 1–0
- Sherwood – O'Connor – Sasson6:58
xG 0.29–0.26 (52%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Reichel – Bains3:11
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes11:54
xG 0.69–0.22 (76%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Pettersson – Willander7:35
xG 0.55–0.27 (67%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Hughes – Willander2:25
xG 0.33–0.09 (78%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Smith – Celebrini7:23
xG 0.46–0.36 (56%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Wennberg – Gaudette – Eklund8:00
xG 0.27–0.22 (54%)attempts 10–4goals 0–1
- Reaves – Goodrow – Ostapchuk3:43
xG 0.00–0.26 (0%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Kurashev – Dellandrea – Graf7:06
xG 0.13–0.54 (19%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOrlov – Klingberg2:15
xG 0.45–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 1–0
- Klingberg – Ferraro9:04
xG 0.24–0.09 (74%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Iorio – Dickinson6:08
xG 0.20–0.23 (46%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).