Fri, Nov 28, 2025·United Center, Chicago
Nashville Predators 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 010 | 311 | 18 | 429 |
| CHI | 111 | 16 | 110 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:10CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Sam Rinzel, Andre Burakovsky · Snap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 1:46NSHMatthew WoodAssists: Nicolas Hague · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 7:18NSHSteven StamkosAssists: Nick Blankenburg, Fedor Svechkov · Backhand, 0.26 xG2–1
- P2 15:14CHIRyan GreenePPAssists: Oliver Moore · Snap, 0.24 xG2–2
- P2 16:27NSHLuke EvangelistaAssists: Steven Stamkos, Ryan O'Reilly · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–2
- P3 7:15NSHRyan O'ReillyGWGAssists: Luke Evangelista, Nick Perbix · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–2
- P3 10:28CHITeuvo TeravainenAssists: Wyatt Kaiser, Frank Nazar · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 12:55NSHNick Perbix: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 15:07NSHBrady Skjei: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 8:44CHIArtyom Levshunov: Interference2 min
- P2 13:25NSHOzzy Wiesblatt: Kneeing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:25NSHMichael McCarron: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:25CHIColton Dach: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:31CHISam Rinzel: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nazar won the faceoff against O'Reilly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestStamkos – O'Reilly – Evangelista9:59
xG 0.63–0.36 (63%)attempts 11–9goals 2–0
- McCarron – Bunting – Wiesblatt7:06
xG 0.34–0.20 (63%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Haula – Forsberg – Wood8:49
xG 0.28–0.32 (46%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Jost – Svechkov – Schaefer6:27
xG 0.26–0.46 (37%)attempts 8–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStastney – Blankenburg9:25
xG 0.64–0.24 (73%)attempts 14–7goals 1–1
- Skjei – Perbix17:11
xG 1.10–0.75 (59%)attempts 21–24goals 2–0
- Josi – Hague14:59
xG 0.46–0.48 (49%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBurakovsky – Greene – Bedard12:05
xG 0.67–0.51 (57%)attempts 18–12goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Donato – Mikheyev9:17
xG 0.44–0.31 (59%)attempts 12–9goals 0–1
- Teravainen – Bertuzzi – Nazar10:30
xG 0.49–0.43 (53%)attempts 12–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKaiser – Levshunov3:19
xG 0.58–0.14 (81%)attempts 6–5goals 1–1
- Grzelcyk – Rinzel5:17
xG 0.31–0.09 (78%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Murphy – Vlasic2:52
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).