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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 29, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New York Rangers 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

New York Rangers

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 97% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:29Shot by Paul, saved by Shesterkin
  3. P1 3:32Shot by Moser, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 4:36Shot by Hagel, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 4:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 6:11Shot by Moser, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 6:25Shot by Girgensons, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 6:27Shot by Girgensons, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 6:29Shot by Holmberg, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 7:53Shot by Cirelli, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 9:26Shot by Soucy, saved by Johansson
  12. P1 10:53Goal by Hagel (Raddysh, Kucherov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Soucy, Borgen, Lafrenière · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  13. P1 15:48D'Astous: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Fox, Lafrenière, Cuylle · TBL Girgensons, Paul, Goncalves, Moser, Lilleberg

  14. P1 18:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 19:50Shot by Panarin, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 2:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P2 4:09Shot by Raddysh, saved by Shesterkin
  20. P2 4:16Robertson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Raddysh, Robertson, Edstrom, Schneider · TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Goncalves, Moser, James

  21. P2 4:32Shot by Raddysh, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  22. P2 6:07Shot by Raddysh, saved by Johansson4v5
  23. P2 6:18Shot by Cirelli, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P2 7:42Shot by Girgensons, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 8:18Shot by Trocheck, saved by Johansson
  26. P2 8:29Shot by Trocheck, saved by Johansson
  27. P2 8:41Shot by Raddysh, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 8:56Shot by Hagel, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 8:57Goal by Hagel (Kucherov, Raddysh)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Borgen, Gavrikov, Lafrenière · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  30. P2 10:23Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin
  31. P2 11:21Shot by Fox, saved by Johansson
  32. P2 12:21Shot by Soucy, saved by Johansson
  33. P2 14:02Shot by Edstrom, saved by Johansson
  34. P2 14:28Shot by D'Astous, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 14:39Shot by Cirelli, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 15:06Shot by Hagel, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 16:39Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 17:31Goal by Miller (Fox, Zibanejad)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Gavrikov, Fox, Lafrenière · TBL Paul, D'Astous, Douglas, Goncalves, Lilleberg

  39. P2 18:25Shot by Moser, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 19:22Shot by Raddysh, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 19:41Shesterkin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Borgen, Gavrikov, Lafrenière, Berard · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser, James

  42. P2 19:48Shot by Raddysh, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  43. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:51Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  46. P3 0:56Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  47. P3 2:02Goal by Paul (Kucherov, D'Astous)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Soucy, Gavrikov, Berard, Cuylle · TBL Kucherov, Paul, Hagel, D'Astous, Lilleberg

  48. P3 2:25Shot by Girgensons, saved by Shesterkin
  49. P3 6:21Shot by Paul, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 6:22Shot by Guentzel, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P3 11:56Goncalves: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Miller, Gavrikov, Raddysh, Edstrom, Schneider · TBL Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh, Goncalves, Carlile

  52. P3 12:19Shot by Panarin, saved by Johansson5v4
  53. P3 13:33Shot by Cuylle, saved by Johansson5v4
  54. P3 13:59Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Johansson
  55. P3 15:20Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P3 19:02Shot by Cuylle, saved by Johansson6v5
  57. P3 19:42Goal by Guentzel (Gourde, Raddysh)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Lafrenière, Cuylle · TBL Gourde, Guentzel, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser

  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final