Sat, Nov 29, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New York Rangers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 97% of the time.
95%
NYR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 25:22 | 0.21 | 80.9% | +31.6 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 23:44 | 0.18 | 79.7% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:17 | 0.04 | 67.7% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 21:40 | 0.69 | 93.2% | +48.9 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.08 | 67.4% | +17.5 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.34 | 96.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 18:59 | 1.51 | 96.7% | +31.5 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 69.9% | +0.1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:51 | 0.66 | 71.5% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:51 | 1.18 | 65.3% | +0.1 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.54 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 0.26 | 51.9% | +17.5 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:25 | 0.30 | 74.3% | 0.0 |
 Declan CarlileD · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 83.3% | 0.0 |
 Steven SantiniD · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.04 | 65.6% | 0.0 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:20 | 0.00 | 79.0% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:15 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Curtis DouglasC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:06 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | W | 13 | 12 | 1 | .923 | 1.76 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Vladislav GavrikovD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:23 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Artemi PanarinLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:40 | 0.30 | 39.6% | 0.0 |
 Vincent TrocheckC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.32 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
 Will CuylleLW · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.05 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Mika ZibanejadC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:18 | 0.08 | 25.0% | +16.5 |
 J.T. MillerC · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.36 | 29.7% | +16.5 |
 Will BorgenD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 |
 Carson SoucyD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.21 | 18.2% | 0.0 |
 Alexis LafrenièreLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.03 | 25.1% | 0.0 |
 Adam FoxD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.03 | 56.2% | +16.5 |
 Braden SchneiderD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.01 | 18.8% | 0.0 |
 Noah LabaC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.07 | 5.9% | 0.0 |
 Matthew RobertsonD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.01 | 15.4% | 0.0 |
 Brett BerardLW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Jonny BrodzinskiC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 |
 Taylor RaddyshRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:39 | 0.27 | 7.9% | 0.0 |
 Adam EdstromC · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:01 | 0.03 | 10.0% | 0.0 |
 Sam CarrickC · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:55 | 0.00 | 10.0% | 0.0 |
 Igor Shesterkin#31 | L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.77 | +0.8 | 57:35 |