Tue, Dec 2, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Boston Bruins 4, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 010 | 210 | 218 | 438 |
| DET | 27 | 214 | 111 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:52DETJames van RiemsdykAssists: Albert Johansson, Moritz Seider · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 13:49DETMoritz SeiderAssists: Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 1:35DETAlex DeBrincatUnassisted · Snap, 0.10 xG0–3
- P2 11:09BOSJonathan AspirotAssists: Nikita Zadorov, Tanner Jeannot · Slap, 0.03 xG1–3
- P2 15:38BOSAlex SteevesAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Morgan Geekie · Snap, 0.12 xG2–3
- P2 16:15DETBen ChiarotAssists: Dylan Larkin, Lucas Raymond · Snap, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 3:55DETLucas RaymondPPGWGAssists: Moritz Seider, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.17 xG2–5
- P3 14:57BOSMarat KhusnutdinovAssists: Hampus Lindholm, Morgan Geekie · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–5
- P3 19:48BOSAlex SteevesAssists: Pavel Zacha, Hampus Lindholm · Slap, 0.05 xG4–5
Penalties (9)
- P2 8:20DETSimon Edvinsson: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:24BOSHampus Lindholm: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 7:47BOSNikita Zadorov: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:47DETMoritz Seider: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:47BOSNikita Zadorov: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:47BOSNikita Zadorov: Misconduct10 min
- P3 13:27BOSMark Kastelic: Slashing2 min
- P3 13:27BOSMark Kastelic: Misconduct10 min
- P3 14:05DETMoritz Seider: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Minten won the faceoff against Compher
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestLindholm – Geekie – Steeves11:48
xG 0.53–0.47 (53%)attempts 10–12goals 1–2
- Jeannot – Kastelic – Minten9:52
xG 0.64–0.59 (52%)attempts 10–14goals 1–1
- Arvidsson – Zacha – Mittelstadt10:38
xG 0.29–0.42 (41%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Kuraly – Eyssimont – Khusnutdinov9:03
xG 0.22–1.16 (16%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Aspirot2:37
xG 0.22–0.01 (94%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Callahan – Lohrei2:51
xG 0.27–0.08 (78%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Lindholm – Peeke8:45
xG 0.51–0.38 (58%)attempts 9–10goals 0–2
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestSoderblom – Kasper – Danielson9:05
xG 1.03–0.13 (89%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Kane – Copp – DeBrincat10:18
xG 0.48–0.25 (66%)attempts 10–13goals 2–0
- Larkin – Raymond – Finnie12:25
xG 0.44–0.37 (54%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- van Riemsdyk – Compher – Rasmussen8:26
xG 0.48–0.65 (42%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeider – Edvinsson16:27
xG 1.49–0.38 (80%)attempts 21–12goals 2–1
- Chiarot – Sandin-Pellikka13:25
xG 0.78–0.56 (58%)attempts 20–12goals 1–0
- Bernard-Docker – Johansson12:03
xG 0.20–0.43 (32%)attempts 6–21goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).