Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 4, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Rangers 4, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 86% of the time.

OTT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:24Shot by Carrick, saved by Meriläinen
  3. P1 3:05Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 3:19Goal by Zibanejad (Miller, Panarin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider

  5. P1 3:42Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin
  6. P1 4:24Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 4:26Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 6:53Shot by Spence, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 7:59Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 9:45Goal by Gavrikov (Schneider, Miller)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Gilbert, Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Stützle · NYR Trocheck, Miller, Gavrikov, Schneider, Berard

  11. P1 10:30Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin
  12. P1 10:35Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 11:18Shot by Robertson, saved by Meriläinen
  14. P1 11:26Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Meriläinen
  15. P1 11:28Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Meriläinen
  16. P1 13:12Shot by Halliday, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 15:08Shot by Perron, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 16:33Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Meriläinen
  19. P1 16:48Shot by Sheary, saved by Meriläinen
  20. P1 17:43Cuylle: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Perron, Jensen, Cousins, Gilbert, Halliday · NYR Robertson, Berard, Cuylle, Morrow, Laba

  21. P1 18:30Goal by Cozens (Batherson, Sanderson)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle · NYR Zibanejad, Borgen, Robertson, Laba

  22. P1 19:28Shot by Cuylle, saved by Meriläinen
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:36Shot by Trocheck, saved by Meriläinen
  26. P2 1:41Shot by Morrow, saved by Meriläinen
  27. P2 2:22Shot by Halliday, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 3:38Shot by Carrick, saved by Meriläinen
  29. P2 4:29Shot by Panarin, saved by Meriläinen
  30. P2 4:57Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Meriläinen
  31. P2 5:21Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  32. P2 6:42Shot by Robertson, saved by Meriläinen
  33. P2 7:24Goal by Borgen (Soucy, Brodzinski)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Perron, Jensen, Batherson, Cozens, Sanderson · NYR Carrick, Soucy, Brodzinski, Borgen, Raddysh

  34. P2 7:43Shot by Borgen, saved by Meriläinen
  35. P2 8:17Shot by Sheary, saved by Meriläinen
  36. P2 8:32Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 11:21Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Meriläinen
  38. P2 11:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Meriläinen
  39. P2 12:13Stützle: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo · NYR Trocheck, Miller, Soucy, Sheary, Borgen

  40. P2 14:48Shot by Berard, saved by Meriläinen
  41. P2 14:50Shot by Carrick, saved by Meriläinen
  42. P2 15:13Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 16:31Shot by Sanderson, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 17:23Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Shesterkin
  45. P2 17:47Shot by Cousins, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 2:00Shot by Laba, saved by Meriläinen
  49. P3 3:05Shot by Perron, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P3 3:41Shot by Jensen, saved by Shesterkin
  51. P3 3:42Shot by Batherson, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P3 4:45Shot by Stützle, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P3 5:26Shot by Trocheck, saved by Meriläinen
  54. P3 5:57Shot by Cozens, saved by Shesterkin
  55. P3 8:50Borgen: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Zetterlund, Cozens, Kleven, Matinpalo · NYR Trocheck, Miller, Soucy, Sheary, Borgen

  56. P3 10:14Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Meriläinen5v4
  57. P3 11:13Shot by Miller, saved by Meriläinen
  58. P3 11:48Shot by Sanderson, saved by Shesterkin
  59. P3 12:09Miller: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Cozens, Spence, Greig, Sanderson · NYR Trocheck, Miller, Sheary, Gavrikov, Schneider

  60. P3 13:08Goal by Batherson (Tkachuk, Sanderson)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle · NYR Trocheck, Zibanejad, Borgen, Robertson

  61. P3 13:25Shot by Laba, saved by Meriläinen
  62. P3 14:28Shot by Perron, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 17:17Shot by Stützle, saved by Shesterkin
  64. P3 19:16Goal by Panarin (Miller, Trocheck)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle · NYR Trocheck, Miller, Panarin, Gavrikov, Schneider

  65. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  66. P3 0:00Final6v5