Thu, Dec 4, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
New York Rangers 4, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 86% of the time.
9%
81%
OTT winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 25:16 | 0.06 | 57.2% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 24:05 | 0.00 | 59.8% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:12 | 0.02 | 21.2% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.48 | 26.3% | +33.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:46 | 0.44 | 75.6% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:21 | 2.14 | 77.4% | +20.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.08 | 48.4% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.02 | 41.2% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.28 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.22 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.02 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.08 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:48 | 0.37 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.04 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.16 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.05 | 50.4% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 8:16 | 0.45 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.42 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 27:30 | 0.15 | 43.4% | +28.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 23:20 | 0.22 | 67.0% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.28 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 23:05 | 0.48 | 59.5% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.01 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 20:42 | 0.48 | 50.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.08 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:19 | 0.00 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.11 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.05 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.03 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.07 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:57 | 0.28 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.08 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:58 | 0.03 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:35 | 0.08 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:07 | 0.00 | 3.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.44 | −0.6 | 57:57 |