Sun, Dec 7, 2025·Honda Center, Anaheim
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Anaheim Ducks 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 98% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 06 | 07 | 17 | 120 |
| ANA | 117 | 427 | 29 | 753 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:16ANAJacob TroubaUnassisted · Slap, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 6:40ANAMason McTavishPPGWGAssists: Beckett Sennecke, Cutter Gauthier · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 9:26ANABeckett SenneckeAssists: Cutter Gauthier, Radko Gudas · Snap, 0.05 xG0–3
- P2 16:09ANAAlex KillornAssists: Ryan Strome, Pavel Mintyukov · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–4
- P2 17:23ANALeo CarlssonAssists: Chris Kreider, Troy Terry · Snap, 0.06 xG0–5
- P3 0:15ANALeo CarlssonPPAssists: Chris Kreider, Jackson LaCombe · Snap, 0.25 xG0–6
- P3 1:40CHITyler BertuzziPPAssists: Connor Bedard, Artyom Levshunov · Snap, 0.06 xG1–6
- P3 18:08ANAFrank VatranoAssists: Olen Zellweger, Ryan Strome · Snap, 0.13 xG1–7
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:06ANACutter Gauthier: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 12:06CHIColton Dach: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 18:05CHIFrank Nazar: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:08CHIConnor Murphy: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 18:45CHILouis Crevier: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 1:32ANARyan Strome: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 12:06CHIArtyom Levshunov: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carlsson won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Bertuzzi – Donato – Dach2:16
xG 0.04–0.08 (34%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Nazar – Moore8:26
xG 0.27–0.51 (35%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Dickinson – Mikheyev5:25
xG 0.02–0.62 (3%)attempts 2–7goals 0–3
- Burakovsky – Greene – Bedard9:38
xG 0.05–0.69 (7%)attempts 4–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Murphy – Vlasic2:49
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–1
- Murphy – Kaiser2:09
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–1
- Kaiser – Rinzel4:35
xG 0.07–0.19 (25%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKreider – Terry – Carlsson11:09
xG 1.18–0.10 (92%)attempts 22–3goals 1–0
- Killorn – Strome – Vatrano7:42
xG 0.88–0.04 (96%)attempts 11–2goals 2–0
- McTavish – Gauthier – Sennecke11:04
xG 0.75–0.24 (76%)attempts 17–7goals 1–0
- Granlund – Johnston – Poehling9:55
xG 0.41–0.22 (65%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – LaCombe15:57
xG 1.95–0.35 (85%)attempts 33–11goals 2–0
- Gudas – Zellweger14:19
xG 0.98–0.20 (83%)attempts 15–6goals 2–0
- Helleson – Mintyukov14:29
xG 0.82–0.12 (87%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 98% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).