Tue, Dec 9, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Vegas Golden Knights 4, New York Islanders 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 66% of the time.
27%
58%
NYI winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 24:30 | 0.25 | 40.9% | +46.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:28 | 0.02 | 41.8% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:32 | 0.41 | 56.7% | +65.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:53 | 0.10 | 41.8% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:05 | 0.67 | 62.2% | +51.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 20:49 | 0.35 | 54.0% | +65.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.09 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:11 | 0.88 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.00 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:21 | 0.37 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.03 | 54.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.11 | 43.7% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.07 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.16 | 31.3% | +31.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.03 | 9.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:08 | 0.18 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:29 | 0.00 | 30.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.73 | −1.3 | 63:48 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 29:12 | 0.08 | 56.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 28:14 | 0.34 | 57.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:30 | 0.09 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 22:19 | 0.66 | 74.5% | +50.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.19 | 69.5% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.29 | 42.2% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.15 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:40 | 0.09 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.02 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.12 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.05 | 19.1% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.12 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.09 | 25.2% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.00 | 70.2% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.08 | 26.7% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 64.5% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:47 | 0.37 | 74.6% | +17.0 |
| W | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.72 | −0.3 | 65:00 |