Thu, Dec 11, 2025·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Dallas Stars 2, Minnesota Wild 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 95% of the time.
92%
MIN winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 26:11 | 0.22 | 29.3% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:13 | 0.01 | 28.9% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 22:43 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.03 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.07 | 27.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:08 | 0.18 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.15 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 16:29 | 0.25 | 36.6% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.22 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.09 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.05 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.02 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.06 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 3.1% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 2.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 3.77 | +0.8 | 58:40 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 25:19 | 0.39 | 75.0% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 24:29 | 0.07 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 22:24 | 1.13 | 67.7% | +58.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 21:34 | 0.90 | 64.3% | +52.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.05 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.12 | 83.6% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:58 | 0.35 | 67.3% | +20.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.58 | 66.0% | +36.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 79.1% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.04 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.05 | 66.7% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.00 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.25 | 85.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.49 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.00 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:38 | 0.46 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:59 | 0.01 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:19 | 0.00 | 68.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.35 | −0.6 | 60:00 |