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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 11, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

Florida Panthers 2, Colorado Avalanche 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 74% of the time.

COL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Burns, saved by Tarasov
  3. P1 1:14Goal by Malinski (Necas, MacKinnon)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Malinski · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  4. P1 1:35Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Blackwood
  5. P1 2:43Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Tarasov
  6. P1 3:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tarasov
  7. P1 3:30Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tarasov
  8. P1 3:39Shot by Toews, saved by Tarasov
  9. P1 4:22Shot by Colton, saved by Tarasov
  10. P1 6:06Shot by Toews, saved by Tarasov
  11. P1 6:54Shot by Landeskog, saved by Tarasov
  12. P1 7:21Goal by Gregor (Jones)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Toews, Girard · FLA Petry, Gregor, Studnicka, Samoskevich, Balinskis

  13. P1 8:04Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tarasov
  14. P1 8:30Shot by Ekblad, saved by Blackwood
  15. P1 8:42Shot by Burns, saved by Tarasov
  16. P1 8:43Shot by Nelson, saved by Tarasov
  17. P1 8:44Shot by Nelson, saved by Tarasov
  18. P1 9:29Shot by Kelly, saved by Tarasov
  19. P1 9:33Verhaeghe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Kelly, Drury, Kiviranta, Malinski · FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Jones, Bennett, Mikkola

  20. P1 11:35Shot by Toews, saved by Tarasov
  21. P1 11:39Shot by Brindley, saved by Tarasov
  22. P1 11:59Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Blackwood
  23. P1 13:07Shot by Mikkola, saved by Blackwood
  24. P1 13:19Manson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Nichushkin · FLA Jones, Reinhart, Bennett, Luostarinen, Lundell

  25. P1 13:35Shot by Jones, saved by Blackwood4v5
  26. P1 13:36Shot by Reinhart, saved by Blackwood4v5
  27. P1 13:51Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Blackwood4v5
  28. P1 15:28Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Blackwood
  29. P1 15:36Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Blackwood
  30. P1 15:51Shot by Gregor, saved by Blackwood
  31. P1 18:19Shot by Girard, saved by Tarasov
  32. P1 18:30Goal by Nelson (Makar, Nichushkin)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Girard, Makar · FLA Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling, Luostarinen, Lundell

  33. P1 18:53Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Blackwood
  34. P1 19:03Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Tarasov
  35. P1 19:24Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Tarasov
  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 2:16Shot by Brindley, saved by Tarasov
  39. P2 2:23Shot by Olofsson, saved by Tarasov
  40. P2 3:01Shot by Ekblad, saved by Blackwood
  41. P2 4:33Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 4:34Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Blackwood
  43. P2 5:03Shot by Burns, saved by Tarasov
  44. P2 5:05Goal by Brindley (Burns, Manson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Manson, Olofsson, Colton, Brindley · FLA Petry, Greer, Rodrigues, Samoskevich, Balinskis

  45. P2 7:18Goal by MacKinnon (Girard, Malinski)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Brindley, Malinski · FLA Jones, Reinhart, Mikkola, Luostarinen, Lundell

  46. P2 8:56Shot by Studnicka, saved by Blackwood
  47. P2 10:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tarasov
  48. P2 10:40Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Blackwood
  49. P2 11:10Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Tarasov
  50. P2 11:39Shot by Malinski, saved by Tarasov
  51. P2 12:23Shot by Studnicka, saved by Blackwood
  52. P2 12:31Goal by Lehkonen (Brindley, Toews)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar, Brindley · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Gregor, Boqvist, Studnicka

  53. P2 13:04Shot by Balinskis, saved by Blackwood
  54. P2 15:17Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Tarasov
  55. P2 15:52Mikkola: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar, Brindley · FLA Jones, Reinhart, Mikkola, Luostarinen, Lundell

  56. P2 18:33Shot by Burns, saved by Tarasov
  57. P2 18:39Shot by Makar, saved by Tarasov
  58. P2 18:41Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tarasov
  59. P2 18:52Samoskevich: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar, Brindley · FLA Ekblad, Greer, Rodrigues, Mikkola, Samoskevich

  60. P2 19:43Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Tarasov5v4
  61. P2 19:51Shot by Gregor, saved by Blackwood5v4
  62. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 1:48Shot by Petry, saved by Blackwood
  65. P3 3:02Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Tarasov
  66. P3 5:18Shot by Malinski, saved by Tarasov
  67. P3 6:15Shot by Necas, saved by Tarasov
  68. P3 6:18Goal by Landeskog (Necas, Manson)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Burns, Nelson, Manson, Landeskog, Necas · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Gregor, Boqvist, Studnicka

  69. P3 7:47Brindley: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar, Brindley · FLA Petry, Bennett, Greer, Rodrigues, Samoskevich, Balinskis

  70. P3 11:32Shot by Ekblad, saved by Blackwood
  71. P3 11:33Shot by Lundell, saved by Blackwood
  72. P3 13:08Goal by Samoskevich (Greer, Rodrigues)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Brindley · FLA Ekblad, Forsling, Greer, Rodrigues, Samoskevich

  73. P3 13:32Shot by Lundell, saved by Blackwood
  74. P3 14:58Ekblad: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar, Brindley · FLA Marchand, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling

  75. P3 14:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tarasovother
  76. P3 15:03Shot by Olofsson, saved by Tarasov
  77. P3 15:09Shot by Manson, saved by Tarasov
  78. P3 18:10Shot by Colton, saved by Tarasov
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final