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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 13, 2025·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:57Michkov: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Tippett, Murchison, Michkov · CAR Staal, Martinook, Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov

  3. P1 4:04Shot by Staal, saved by Ersson4v5
  4. P1 4:33Shot by Jarvis, saved by Ersson4v5
  5. P1 4:34Shot by Couturier, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  6. P1 5:03Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  7. P1 5:26Shot by Jarvis, saved by Ersson4v5
  8. P1 6:52Shot by Walker, saved by Ersson
  9. P1 9:00Shot by Tippett, saved by Kochetkov
  10. P1 10:04Goal by Brink (Zegras, Sanheim)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Dvorak, Zegras, Brink, Andrae, Drysdale · CAR Staal, Gostisbehere, Martinook, Carrier, Chatfield

  11. P1 11:22Shot by Blake, saved by Ersson
  12. P1 12:34Shot by Seeler, saved by Kochetkov
  13. P1 17:34Goal by Zegras (Konecny, Drysdale)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras, Andrae, Drysdale · CAR Aho, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  14. P1 17:47Shot by Hathaway, saved by Kochetkov
  15. P1 0:00Period end
  16. P2 0:00Period start
  17. P2 0:13Shot by Couturier, saved by Kochetkov
  18. P2 0:37Shot by Michkov, saved by Kochetkov
  19. P2 0:41Shot by Sanheim, saved by Kochetkov
  20. P2 1:39Shot by Grebenkin, saved by Kochetkov
  21. P2 4:57Shot by Konecny, saved by Kochetkov
  22. P2 5:05Shot by Stankoven, saved by Ersson
  23. P2 5:40Shot by Cates, saved by Kochetkov
  24. P2 7:42Shot by Miller, saved by Ersson
  25. P2 9:11Goal by Ehlers (Gostisbehere)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Juulsen, Tippett, Cates, Murchison, Michkov · CAR Gostisbehere, Ehlers, Chatfield, Stankoven, Blake

  26. P2 11:03Shot by Martinook, saved by Ersson
  27. P2 12:06Shot by Blake, saved by Ersson
  28. P2 14:12Goal by Nikishin (Nystrom, Hall)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Cates, Brink, Grebenkin · CAR Hall, Jankowski, Robinson, Nikishin, Nystrom

  29. P2 15:53Shot by Konecny, saved by Kochetkov
  30. P2 16:54Zegras: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Zegras · CAR Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin, Nystrom

  31. P2 16:57Shot by Seeler, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  32. P2 18:32Shot by Sanheim, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  33. P2 18:59Shot by Stankoven, saved by Ersson
  34. P2 19:25Shot by Walker, saved by Ersson
  35. P2 0:00Period end
  36. P3 0:00Period start
  37. P3 2:29Shot by Brink, saved by Kochetkov
  38. P3 3:08Shot by Jankowski, saved by Ersson
  39. P3 5:42Shot by Stankoven, saved by Ersson
  40. P3 9:28Shot by Nystrom, saved by Ersson
  41. P3 12:26Goal by Jarvis (Svechnikov, Gostisbehere)+28 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Sanheim, Abols, Zegras · CAR Gostisbehere, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nystrom

  42. P3 12:49Goal by Grundstrom (Abols, Juulsen)+28 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hathaway, Juulsen, Abols, Grundstrom, Murchison · CAR Hall, Jankowski, Robinson, Nikishin, Nystrom

  43. P3 13:49Shot by Chatfield, saved by Ersson
  44. P3 16:31Shot by Ehlers, saved by Ersson
  45. P3 0:00Period end
  46. OT 0:00Period start
  47. OT 3:28Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Ersson3v3
  48. OT 4:50Shot by Staal, saved by Ersson3v3
  49. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  50. SO Period start
  51. SO Shot by Jarvis, saved by Erssonother
  52. SO Shot by Konecny, saved by Kochetkovother
  53. SO Shot by Brink, saved by Kochetkovother
  54. SO Goal by Blake, unassistedother
  55. SO Period endother
  56. SO Finalother