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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 14, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Utah Mammoth 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 86% of the time.

PIT winsUTA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:48Goal by Brazeau (Kindel, McGroarty)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Shea, Brazeau, McGroarty, Kindel · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Peterka

  3. P1 1:22Shot by Peterka, saved by Murashov
  4. P1 1:30Shot by But, saved by Murashov
  5. P1 3:14Shot by Guenther, saved by Murashov
  6. P1 3:45Shot by Peterka, saved by Murashov
  7. P1 4:27Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Murashov5v6
  8. P1 4:30Kindel: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Letang, Shea, Brazeau, McGroarty, Kindel · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Peterka, Guenther

  9. P1 6:59Shot by Novak, saved by Vejmelka
  10. P1 9:16Shot by Mantha, saved by Vejmelka6v5
  11. P1 9:18Schmidt: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Mantha, Novak, Shea, Koivunen · UTA Cole, Maatta, O'Brien, Hayton, Guenther

  12. P1 13:27Shot by Peterka, saved by Murashov
  13. P1 13:59Shot by Dewar, saved by Vejmelka
  14. P1 15:21Goal by Rust (Rakell)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon · UTA Stenlund, Sergachev, Carcone, Durzi, McBain

  15. P1 15:52Shot by Crouse, saved by Murashov
  16. P1 16:33Cole: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon · UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Peterka

  17. P1 17:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:54Shot by Clifton, saved by Vejmelka
  21. P2 4:21Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Murashov
  22. P2 4:40Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Murashov
  23. P2 5:40Goal by Kindel (Shea, Letang)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Rust, Rakell, Shea, Kindel · UTA Cole, Maatta, Carcone, McBain, But

  24. P2 6:59Shot by Marino, saved by Murashov
  25. P2 9:04Koivunen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Graves, Novak, Brazeau, Koivunen · UTA Cole, Maatta, Carcone, McBain, But

  26. P2 10:59Shot by Carcone, saved by Murashov4v5
  27. P2 14:11Clifton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Graves, Mantha, Novak, Koivunen · UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Durzi, Peterka

  28. P2 14:30Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Murashov4v5
  29. P2 14:31Shot by Peterka, saved by Murashov4v5
  30. P2 14:40Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Murashov4v5
  31. P2 14:53Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Murashov4v5
  32. P2 16:07Shot by Durzi, saved by Murashov4v5
  33. P2 18:01Shot by Sergachev, saved by Murashov
  34. P2 18:35Shot by Peterka, saved by Murashov
  35. P2 19:08Shot by Acciari, saved by Vejmelka
  36. P2 19:21Shot by Acciari, saved by Vejmelka
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:57Shot by Peterka, saved by Murashov
  40. P3 1:07Goal by Schmidt (Schmaltz, Peterka)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Shea, Brazeau, McGroarty, Kindel · UTA Schmidt, Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Peterka

  41. P3 1:18Shot by Carcone, saved by Murashov
  42. P3 1:22Goal by Carcone, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Hayes, Clifton, Graves, Acciari, Dewar · UTA Cole, Maatta, Carcone, McBain, But

  43. P3 2:27Shot by Stenlund, saved by Murashov
  44. P3 3:01Shot by Novak, saved by Vejmelka
  45. P3 4:33Shot by Carcone, saved by Murashov
  46. P3 5:35Goal by Durzi (Yamamoto, Sergachev)+38 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Hayes, Clifton, Graves, Acciari, Dewar · UTA O'Brien, Stenlund, Sergachev, Yamamoto, Durzi

  47. P3 5:35Koivunen: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Hayes, Clifton, Graves, Acciari, Dewar · UTA O'Brien, Stenlund, Sergachev, Yamamoto, Durzi

  48. P3 6:21Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Murashov4v5
  49. P3 6:53Shot by Keller, saved by Murashov4v5
  50. P3 7:06Goal by Carcone (Hayton, But)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Rust, Shea, Kindel · UTA Crouse, Carcone, Durzi, Hayton, But

  51. P3 8:36Shot by Rust, saved by Vejmelka
  52. P3 10:52Rust: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell, Wotherspoon · UTA Cole, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Peterka

  53. P3 11:42Shot by Guenther, saved by Murashov4v5
  54. P3 11:51Shot by Acciari, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  55. P3 12:30Shot by Peterka, saved by Murashov4v5
  56. P3 12:59Shot by Crouse, saved by Murashov
  57. P3 13:36Shot by Karlsson, saved by Vejmelka
  58. P3 14:06Goal by Brazeau (Karlsson, Kindel)+30 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Brazeau, McGroarty, Kindel · UTA Crouse, Sergachev, Durzi, Hayton, Guenther

  59. P3 14:30Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Murashov
  60. P3 16:12Shot by Kindel, saved by Vejmelka
  61. P3 16:45Shot by Peterka, saved by Murashov
  62. P3 17:04Shot by Keller, saved by Murashov
  63. P3 17:16Shot by Guenther, saved by Murashov
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. OT 0:00Period start
  66. OT 0:42Goal by Guenther (Marino)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust · UTA Keller, Sergachev, Guenther

  67. OT 0:42Period end4v3
  68. OT 0:42Final4v4