Sun, Dec 14, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Utah Mammoth 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 86% of the time.
9%
80%
PIT winsUTA wins
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:29 | 0.04 | 66.6% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.19 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.01 | 63.0% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 22:51 | 1.02 | 73.2% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21:55 | 0.51 | 73.2% | +5.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 0.52 | 65.8% | +49.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.07 | 71.7% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.28 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.53 | 74.1% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.01 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 68.4% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.03 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 12:20 | 0.28 | 42.2% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.02 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.07 | 42.6% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.01 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:18 | 0.00 | 66.3% | +37.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:26 | 0.00 | 69.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 16 | 12 | 4 | .750 | 1.37 | −2.6 | 60:16 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 28:27 | 0.08 | 49.9% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 24:27 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.11 | 46.5% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.13 | 51.2% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.00 | 41.7% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:58 | 0.00 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.03 | 41.0% | +7.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.30 | 49.8% | +48.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.10 | 7.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.07 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.16 | 40.6% | +40.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 40.0% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.06 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.08 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:13 | 0.14 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.11 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 6:46 | 0.00 | 8.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 31 | 5 | .861 | 3.58 | −1.4 | 60:06 |