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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 19, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Vancouver Canucks 4, New York Islanders 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.

NYI winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:26Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Demko
  3. P1 3:15Karlsson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Pulock, Barzal, Heineman, Gatcomb, Schaefer · VAN Garland, Hronek, Rossi, Ohgren, Buium

  4. P1 4:00Shot by Schaefer, saved by Demko5v4
  5. P1 4:17Sherwood: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Duclair, Drouin, Barzal, Schaefer, Shabanov · VAN Myers, Sherwood, O'Connor, Pettersson

  6. P1 5:09Shot by Pulock, saved by Demko5v3
  7. P1 6:15Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin5v4
  8. P1 6:45Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Demko
  9. P1 7:27Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 7:54Shot by Mayfield, saved by Demko
  11. P1 8:57Goal by Kampf (DeBrusk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Drouin, Barzal, Boqvist, Heineman · VAN Myers, DeBrusk, Kampf, Hoglander, Buium

  12. P1 9:46Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 10:10Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Demko
  14. P1 10:35Goal by Sherwood (Kane, Pettersson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pulock, MacLean, Holmstrom, Schaefer · VAN Myers, Kane, Sherwood, O'Connor, Buium

  15. P1 11:02Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 11:03Shot by Boeser, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 14:01Gatcomb: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, DeAngelo, MacLean, Gatcomb · VAN Kane, Pettersson, Hronek, Sherwood, O'Connor

  18. P1 15:27Shot by Garland, saved by Sorokin4v5
  19. P1 15:47Goal by Sherwood (Hronek, Willander)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Holmstrom, Schaefer · VAN Kane, Hronek, Sherwood, Karlsson, Willander

  20. P1 15:54Shot by Drouin, saved by Demko
  21. P1 18:53Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Demko
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:29Shot by Kane, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 2:30Shot by Ohgren, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 3:35Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 3:53Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 6:51Schaefer: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pulock, MacLean, Gatcomb, Schaefer · VAN Boeser, Garland, Rossi, Pettersson, Willander

  29. P2 7:10Shot by Rossi, saved by Sorokin4v5
  30. P2 8:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 8:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 8:56Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 10:04Hoglander: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pelech, Duclair, Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal · VAN Myers, Pettersson, Kampf, Hoglander, O'Connor

  34. P2 10:39Shot by Drouin, saved by Demko5v4
  35. P2 12:06Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Demko
  36. P2 12:38Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Demko
  37. P2 12:41Shot by Pulock, saved by Demko
  38. P2 13:45Shot by Sasson, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 14:27Shot by Lee, saved by Demko
  40. P2 16:33Shot by Kane, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 16:49Shot by Kane, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 19:19Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Heineman, Schaefer · VAN Myers, Kane, DeBrusk, Hronek, Kampf

  43. P2 19:54Shot by Rossi, saved by Sorokin4v5
  44. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:55Shot by Hronek, saved by Sorokin
  47. P3 2:30Shot by Pettersson, saved by Sorokin
  48. P3 3:27Shot by Willander, saved by Sorokin
  49. P3 3:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  50. P3 4:13Shot by Heineman, saved by Demko
  51. P3 5:50Shot by DeBrusk, saved by Sorokin
  52. P3 8:39Shot by Duclair, saved by Demko
  53. P3 9:22Shot by Myers, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 9:53Shot by Barzal, saved by Demko
  55. P3 10:06Shot by Garland, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 11:13Shot by Drouin, saved by Demko
  57. P3 11:31Shot by Kane, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 14:55Goal by Lee (Ritchie, Barzal)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Drouin, Barzal, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer · VAN Myers, Boeser, Garland, Rossi, Pettersson

  59. P3 15:38Shot by Kane, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 16:48Shot by Barzal, saved by Demko6v5
  61. P3 17:24Shot by Schaefer, saved by Demko6v5
  62. P3 18:31Shot by Lee, saved by Demko6v5
  63. P3 18:39Goal by Sherwood (Hronek)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, DeAngelo, Barzal, Heineman, Ritchie, Schaefer · VAN Kane, Pettersson, Hronek, Sherwood, Sasson

  64. P3 19:04Willander: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Boqvist, MacLean, Gatcomb · VAN Karlsson, Ohgren, Pettersson, Sasson, Willander

  65. P3 19:49Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Demko5v4
  66. P3 19:49Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Demko5v4
  67. P3 19:53Shot by Boqvist, saved by Demko5v4
  68. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  69. P3 0:00Final5v4