Tue, Dec 23, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Seattle Kraken 3, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 09 | 314 | 05 | 328 |
| LAK | 013 | 115 | 19 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:10SEAJordan EberlePPAssists: Matty Beniers, Chandler Stephenson · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–0
- P2 7:26SEAFrederick GaudreauAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Josh Mahura · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–0
- P2 16:02SEABen MeyersGWGAssists: Jamie Oleksiak, Eeli Tolvanen · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P2 16:13LAKKevin FialaUnassisted · Backhand, 0.17 xG3–1
- P3 8:45LAKAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Brandt Clarke, Drew Doughty · Wrap-around, 0.05 xG3–2
Penalties (5)
- P1 19:28LAKBrian Dumoulin: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 18:23SEAJordan Eberle: Interference2 min
- P3 1:43SEABerkly Catton: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:40LAKAlex Laferriere: Delaying game face off violation2 min
- P3 14:03SEAMatty Beniers: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stephenson won the faceoff against Byfield
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- Eberle – Kakko – Beniers11:02
xG 0.54–0.54 (50%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Kartye – Melanson – Meyers7:08
xG 0.12–0.15 (46%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
- Stephenson – Gaudreau – Tolvanen11:46
xG 0.30–0.52 (37%)attempts 8–18goals 1–1
- Winterton – Wright – Catton9:50
xG 0.40–0.88 (32%)attempts 11–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Lindgren – Fleury10:31
xG 0.32–0.27 (54%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Larsson – Evans15:17
xG 0.43–0.53 (45%)attempts 9–24goals 0–1
- Oleksiak – Mahura13:09
xG 0.41–0.89 (32%)attempts 8–19goals 1–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Laferriere10:01
xG 0.73–0.30 (71%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Fiala – Turcotte – Kuzmenko7:44
xG 0.25–0.29 (46%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Perry – Armia – Helenius2:45
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Foegele – Moore – Byfield10:01
xG 0.32–0.56 (36%)attempts 14–12goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke11:08
xG 0.69–0.37 (65%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Ceci11:39
xG 0.65–0.46 (59%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
- Doughty – Anderson12:51
xG 0.60–0.41 (59%)attempts 16–9goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).